Toronto Raptors at Detroit Pistons ATS Prediction 01/31/20

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The Toronto Raptors (34-14) and the Detroit Pistons (17-32) battle at Little Caesars Arena. The Raptors are a 4.5-point favorite and will try to prolong their nine-game winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 223 points and it can be seen on CTV Sportsnet Toronto at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, January 31, 2020.

Toronto Raptors vs. Detroit Pistons ATS Odds

The Raptors will be looking for similar success after topping the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last game, 115-109, as 13-point underdogs. The Pistons, meanwhile, were topped by the Brooklyn Nets, 125-115, and were not able to cover as 8-point underdogs. The Toronto game finished 10.5 points under the projected point total of 234.5, while the Detroit game went 14.5 points over the projected point total of 225.5.

Toronto played a nearly perfect game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.250 (above their season average of 0.201) and a turnover percentage of 11.9 (better than their season average of 12.2). Cleveland recorded marks of 0.133 and 17.9, respectively, for those same stats. Detroit, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (23.7 vs. 20.0). Andre Drummond played well for Detroit with 12 points and 13 rebounds. Meanwhile, Kyle Lowry played well for Toronto, recording 23 points, five rebounds and five assists.

In their two matchups this season, the Raptors have won both. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to score 211 points, which was under the projected point total of 217.5. Toronto won 112-99, covering as a 2-point favorite. Converting at the free throw line was one of Toronto’s largest advantages. They were 21-24 (87.5 percent), while the Pistons were just 15-22 (68.2 percent). Lowry put up a triple-double in the victory, with 20 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Raptors games, with 25 overs compared to 22 unders. Toronto holds records of 34-14 straight up (SU) and 26-20-1 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Pistons’ 49 games, 31 have finished over the projected point total. Additionally, Detroit is 17-32 SU and 17-30-2 ATS.

This has potential to be an error-filled game for the Detroit offense. Detroit ranks 28th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.7 percent), while the disruptive defense of Toronto forces the second-most turnovers in the NBA (15.5 percent).

Raptors vs. Pistons Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Raptors average 5.0 blocks per game, which ranks 15th in the league. The Pistons rank 24th in blocks allowed per game (5.6).
  • Detroit ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (30.3) while Toronto ranks 29th (38.5).
  • The Raptors rank second in points off turnovers per game (20.5) while the Pistons rank 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.9).
  • Toronto ranks third in fast break points per game (17.8) while Detroit ranks 21st (12.0).
  • Detroit ranks 11th in second chance points per game (13.4) while Toronto ranks 26th in second chance points allowed per game (14.2).
  • The Raptors rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (42.2) while the Pistons rank 26th (51.6).
  • The Pistons rank seventh in rebounds allowed per game (43.5) while the Raptors rank 25th (46.9).
  • Toronto ranks ninth in assists per game (25.6) while Detroit ranks 18th in assists allowed per game (24.6).
  • Toronto ranks second in steals per game (8.8) while Detroit ranks 25th in steals allowed per game (8.1).
  • Toronto is 12-3 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Detroit is 4-0.
  • The Raptors are 32-9 when they score above 100 points, while the Pistons are 16-24.
  • Toronto is 12-10-1 ATS on the road, while Detroit is 9-16 ATS at home.
  • The Raptors have 12 unders and 11 overs in 23 road games.
  • Of the Pistons’ 25 home games, they have 18 overs, 6 unders and 1 push.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Raptors are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Pistons are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Toronto has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Detroit has 5 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 116.0 points per game (3.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 107.2 points per game (0.9 above their season average).
  • The Pistons’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.4, up from 2.2 for the season.