Two teams squaring off for the first time this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs and the New York Islanders take the ice at Nassau Coliseum. This Eastern Conference matchup will get going at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 13, and it will air live on Sportsnet.
Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders Odds
With a -125 moneyline, New York enters the matchup as the favorite. The line for Toronto now stands at +105, and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at 6 goals. The line for betting the total stands at -115 for the over and -105 for the under.
Earning 7.5 units for moneyline bettors, the Islanders are 12-4 straight up (SU) overall thus far. That winning percentage, the NHL’s best so far this season, is a solid improvement compared to what the team managed during the 2018-19 season (48-34). Through 16 regular season contests, nine of its games have gone under the total, while seven have gone over and none have pushed. The team’s 8-3 SU at home this year.
New York has converted on 18.5 percent of its power play chances this season, a mark that’s right around league average. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked 10th overall, and it’s successfully killed off 84.8 percent of all penalties.
As a team, New York has been penalized 3.4 times per game overall this season, 3.4 per game over its past five outings total, and 3.8 per game over its last five at home. The team has been forced to defend opposition power plays for 10.8 minutes per contest over its last five home games.
Averaging 28.8 saves per game with a .942 save percentage, Thomas Greiss (7-2) has been the primary goalkeeper for the Islanders this year. If head coach Barry Trotz chooses to rest him, however, the Isles could go with Semyon Varlamov (5-3-3 record, .924 save percentage, 2.37 goals against average).
Mathew Barzal and Josh Bailey will both be focal points for the Islanders. Barzal (14 points) has tallied seven goals and seven assists and has recorded two or more points in three different games this year. Bailey has six goals and six assists to his name and has recorded at least one point in eight contests.
On the other hand, Toronto is 9-10 straight up (SU) and has lost 4.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline this year. Through 19 regular season matches, 11 of its games have gone over the total, while seven have gone under the total and just one has pushed. As an away team this season, Toronto is 3-4 SU.
Toronto has converted on 18.2 percent of its power play chances this year, a mark that’s right around league average. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 24th overall and it’s successfully killed off 77.1 percent of all penalties.
Toronto’s players have been called for penalties 4.0 times per game this season, and 4.8 per game over their last five road outings. The team’s had to stave off opponent power plays 8.8 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.
Frederik Andersen (.916 save percentage and 2.62 goals against average) has been the primary option in goal for Toronto. Andersen is averaging 28.6 saves per game and owns a 9-5-3 record.
Auston Matthews (13 goals, 12 assists) will pace the offensive counter for the visiting Maple Leafs.
Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders Free Picks
Free NHL Tip: SU Winner – Maple Leafs, O/U – Under
Betting Trends
- The Maple Leafs are 2-5 SU in games where they serve more penalty minutes than their opponent while the Islanders are 11-3 SU when they serve more minutes than their opponent.
- New York has averaged 8.4 takeaways per game over its last five home games, a slight drop from its season average of 7.8 takeaways per game (ranked 12th in the NHL).
- Toronto skaters have created 4.8 takeaways per game over its last five road games, a drop-off from its season average of 7.3 takeaways per game (ranked 18th).
- New York may have an advantage if it’s a tight one late. The team’s 5-2 in games decided by one goal, while Toronto is 3-7 in such games.
