Freddy Galvis and the Toronto Blue Jays will head south to face their division rival Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. The matchup will begin at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to RSN Sports.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays Odds
The Blue Jays have gone only 21-32 SU this year and are 25-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 7.4 units ATS. Toronto is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Rays, on the other hand, are 31-19 SU and 29-20 ATS. They’ve gained 2.6 units for moneyline bettors and 7.5 units ATS. Tampa Bay has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Rays games have a 20-27-2 over/under record so far in 2019. Toronto has an over/under record of 23-27-2.
Right-hander Aaron Sanchez is projected to start for Toronto. Sanchez (3-4, 3.79 ERA) has racked up 55 strikeouts in 57 innings so far. This will be his first start against Tampa Bay this year. He did make two starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 1-1 record with a 4.66 ERA and 11 strikeouts.
The Rays are putting the ball in the hands of righty Yonny Chirinos (5-1, 3.20 ERA), who has 35 punchouts and eight walks as well as a WHIP of 0.91. Chirinos is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 23.14 ERA against Toronto this year.
Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.39 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 7.87 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.17, along with a K/9 of 9.59.
The Blue Jays offense has slashed .220/.286/.378 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Freddy Galvis and Randal Grichuk have led Toronto’s offense. Galvis is slashing .263/.296/.432 with seven home runs, 22 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Grichuk (.237/.298/.414) is up to eight homers, 19 RBIs and 26 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has allowed 3.2 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 2.38, a WHIP of 0.98 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.5. The bullpen has a 3.54 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 19 games against divisional opponents, Rays starters have an ERA of 2.56 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.94.
The Tampa Bay hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .288/.347/.531 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Left fielder Tommy Pham and second baseman Brandon Lowe have paced the Rays’ hitters so far. Pham is hitting .289/.398/.468 with eight home runs, 25 RBIs, 22 runs and six stolen bases, while Lowe’s line sits at .281/.330/.544 with 11 homers, 30 RBIs and 28 runs.
The Blue Jays have lost 14.1 units and are 17-20 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 17 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Rays have lost 2.3 units and are 18-16 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 16 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under.
Blue Jays at Rays Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has cashed in four of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.
- The Rays have won four of their last five games SU.
- Toronto has posted 21.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.8 over its last five.
- The Blue Jays have hit 22 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
- The Blue Jays have a total OPS of .664 this season and an OPS of .677 against right-handed pitchers. The Rays’ OPS stands at .770 overall and .798 against righties.
