Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Betting Preview

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Toronto Blue Jays are preparing to square off against their divisional rival New York Yankees in a Sunday showdown. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET and YES Network is in line to broadcast the matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Odds

New York (-310) is the giant favorite against Toronto (+255) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. The game’s runline odds sit at +125 for betting the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and -145 for the Yankees -1.5 runs.

The Yankees are 101-55 straight up (SU) and 89-66 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 17.1 units for moneyline bettors and 23.4 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, have gone 63-92 SU this year and are 78-76 against the spread. Overall, the club has lost 13.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 3.3 units ATS. Toronto’s covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Yankees games have an 82-68-5 over/under record in 2019. The Blue Jays have an over/under record of 71-74-9.

Trent Thornton will get the nod for the visiting Blue Jays. The right-handed Thornton (5-9, 4.93 ERA) has racked up 138 punchouts in 144.1 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with 14 strikeouts and a 6.28 ERA against New York this year (three starts).

The Yankees are countering with Luis Severino (0-0, 0.00 ERA). Severino has four strikeouts and two walks, along with a 1.00 WHIP. Severino hasn’t faced the Blue Jays yet this year, but he made four starts against them in 2018, putting together a spotless 4-0 record with a 2.38 ERA and 26 strikeouts.

New York’s pitchers have yielded 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 4.52 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.02 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 73 divisional games, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.28 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.98.

The New York hitters have put up 5.9 runs per outing, including 6.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .250/.324/.488 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Yankees’ batters have been led by second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres. LeMahieu is hitting .328/.376/.518 with 25 home runs, 97 RBIs and 106 runs scored, and the line for Torres stands at .284/.343/.546 with 38 homers, 90 RBIs and 96 runs.

In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.23 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.46 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.30, along with a K-per-9 of 9.05.

Blue Jays hitters have slashed .237/.306/.426 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Right fielder Randal Grichuk and third baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. continue to lead Toronto’s offense. Grichuk is slashing .233/.281/.458 with 30 home runs, 76 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Guerrero Jr. (.276/.345/.444) is up to 15 homers, 68 RBIs and 51 runs scored.

The Blue Jays have lost 15.1 units and are 53-50 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 49 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 12.1 units and are 58-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 56 of those games, as opposed to 46 that’ve gone under.

Blue Jays at Yankees Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in just one of Toronto’s last seven games.
  • The Blue Jays have a team OPS of .732 this season and an OPS of .730 against right-handed pitchers. The Yankees’ OPS stands at .835 overall and .827 against righties.
  • New York has recorded 25.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.2 over its last five.
  • The Blue Jays have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.