Freddy Galvis and the Toronto Blue Jays will be taking on their divisional rival Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards in a Saturday showdown. The matchup will get going at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network.
Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Las Vegas has Toronto (-120) as the favorite over Baltimore (+110). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to go under 10.5 runs, then Vegas is putting up -125 odds. Playing the over can return +105 odds. There’s a runline of Blue Jays -1.5 (+125) and Orioles +1.5 (-145) for this matchup.
The Blue Jays have gone 45-67 SU this year and are 55-56 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 14.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 6.8 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 36-73 SU and 47-61 ATS. The team has lost 10.1 units for moneyline bettors and 20.6 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven.
Baltimore games have a 55-46-7 over/under record in 2019. Blue Jays games have gone over 55 times, gone under 53 times and pushed on three occasions.
Left-hander Thomas Pannone will get the start for the visiting Blue Jays. Pannone is 2-4 with a 5.98 ERA and 47 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Baltimore this year.
The Orioles are putting the ball in the right hand of Dylan Bundy (5-11, 5.24 ERA), who’s got 105 punchouts and 37 walks this season as well as a 1.38 WHIP. Bundy is 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 1.35 ERA in one start against Toronto this year.
Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.25 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 7.23 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.17, along with a K/9 of 9.46.
Blue Jays hitters have slashed .235/.304/.417 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (5-0 SU).
Toronto’s hitters have been led by Freddy Galvis and Randal Grichuk. Galvis is slashing .269/.303/.446 with 17 home runs, 53 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Grichuk (.232/.290/.418) has produced 18 homers, 48 RBIs and 49 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff has given up 6.1 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.48 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.97 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 48 divisional games, Orioles starters have an ERA of 4.97 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.82.
The Baltimore offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .230/.298/.316 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar have paced the Orioles’ hitters this year. Mancini is hitting .279/.342/.533 with 25 home runs, 56 RBIs and 70 runs scored, and Villar’s line sits at .262/.326/.417 with 13 homers, 48 RBIs, 70 runs and 23 steals.
The Blue Jays have lost 16.9 units and are 35-38 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 37 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have netted 0.2 units and are 16-23 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 21 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under.
Blue Jays at Orioles Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in only one of Baltimore’s last seven games.
- The Orioles have dropped four of their last five games SU.
- Baltimore has recorded 25.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.4 over its last five.
- The Blue Jays have hit 22 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.
- The Blue Jays have a total OPS of .721 this season and an OPS of .722 against right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS stands at .712 overall and .702 versus righties.
