The Toronto Blue Jays will do battle against their divisional rival Tampa Bay Rays in a Sunday matinee. RSN Sports will televise the matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays Odds
Toronto (+182) is entering this one as the underdog to Tampa Bay (-195) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 8 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). The game’s current runline odds sit at -120 for picking the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and +100 for the Rays -1.5.
The Rays are 85-59 straight up (SU) and 73-70 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t strayed too far from expectations, losing 1.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.3 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Blue Jays have gone 55-88 SU this year and are 70-72 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 20.7 units for moneyline bettors and 7.6 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Tampa Bay games have an over/under record of 68-68-7 in 2019. Toronto has been a decent under bet with a total record of 64-71-7.
Jacob Waguespack will get the start for the visiting Blue Jays. The right-handed Waguespack is 4-3 with a 3.97 ERA and 46 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 13 strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Tampa Bay this year (two starts).
The Rays will put the ball in the right hand of Tyler Glasnow (6-1, 1.86 ERA, 0.91 WHIP), who’s got 55 strikeouts and nine walks. Glasnow has yet to face the Blue Jays this year, but he made four starts against them in 2018, posting a 0-2 record with a 7.41 ERA.
Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.49 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.77 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 66 divisional games, Rays starters have an ERA of 3.45 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.45.
The Tampa Bay hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .250/.329/.414 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Rays’ hitters have been led by Tommy Pham and Austin Meadows. Pham is slashing .279/.378/.465 with 20 home runs, 61 RBIs, 68 runs and 20 stolen bases, and Meadows has put up a line of .287/.355/.550 with 27 homers, 77 RBIs and 66 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 5.05 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.44 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.38, along with a K/9 of 9.16.
Blue Jays hitters have slashed .234/.303/.422 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).
Freddy Galvis and Randal Grichuk have led Toronto’s offense. Galvis is hitting .267/.299/.444 with 18 home runs, 54 RBIs and 55 runs scored, while Grichuk is hitting .230/.282/.433 with 24 homers, 62 RBIs and 63 runs scored.
The Blue Jays have lost 20.3 units and are 47-47 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 43 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Rays have netted 2.3 units and are 45-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 46 of those games, compared to 41 which went under the total.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in only two of Toronto’s last seven games.
- The Blue Jays have a total OPS of .725 this season and an OPS of .720 against right-handed pitchers. The Rays’ OPS stands at .757 overall and .764 against righties.
- The Blue Jays have lost eight of their last nine games SU while the Rays have won nine of their last 10.
- Tampa Bay has posted 23.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.2 over its last five.
- The Blue Jays have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit 13 over their last 10.
