Freddy Galvis and the Toronto Blue Jays will pay a visit to Boston to play a divisional rival in the Red Sox at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network will broadcast the matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
Toronto (+175) is entering this game as the underdog against Boston (-185) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 10.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). This game currently has a runline of Blue Jays +1.5 (-125) and Red Sox -1.5 (+105).
The Red Sox are 50-43 straight up (SU) and 40-52 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 15.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 16.6 units ATS. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, have gone 35-59 SU this year and are 44-49 ATS. In total, the club has lost 15.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.1 units ATS.
Boston games have an over/under record of 52-37-3 so far in 2019. Toronto has an over/under record of 45-45-3.
The right-handed Trent Thornton is projected to start for the visiting Blue Jays. Thornton (3-6, 4.85 ERA) has recorded 97 strikeouts in 94.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with eight strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA against Boston this year (two starts).
The Red Sox will turn to righty Rick Porcello (6-7, 5.33 ERA), who has 81 punchouts and 31 walks as well as a 1.42 WHIP. Porcello is 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA across two starts against Toronto this year.
Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.34 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 7.23 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.31, along with a K-per-9 of 9.51.
Blue Jays hitters have slashed .231/.299/.406 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Toronto’s offense has been led by Freddy Galvis and Randal Grichuk. Galvis is slashing .267/.307/.457 with 15 home runs, 44 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Grichuk (.234/.290/.421) is up to 16 homers, 41 RBIs and 42 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Boston’s pitching staff has yielded 5.1 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.67, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 4.45 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 10.8 K/9. In 38 divisional games, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 4.58 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.53.
The Boston hitters are putting up 5.6 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .278/.335/.471 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts have led the Red Sox offense this year. Devers is slashing .325/.379/.552 with 17 home runs, 64 RBIs, 71 runs and eight stolen bases, while the line for Bogaerts stands at .301/.389/.559 with 20 homers, 71 RBIs and 71 runs scored.
The Blue Jays have lost 19.9 units and are 27-33 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 29 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 5.7 units and are 31-36 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 38 of those games, compared to 27 which went under the total.
Blue Jays at Red Sox Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in just one of Toronto’s last seven contests.
- Toronto has recorded 21 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15 over its last five.
- The Blue Jays have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 19 over their last 10.
- The Blue Jays have a total OPS of .705 this season and an OPS of .700 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS sits at .807 overall and .825 against righties.
