Freddy Galvis and the struggling Toronto Blue Jays are paying a visit to Boston to face off against a divisional rival in the Red Sox at Fenway Park. The matchup can be viewed across the country on ESPN. The game gets underway 2:05 p.m. ET.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
Las Vegas has Boston (-225) as the favorite over Toronto (+205). The total currently stands at 8 runs and gamblers can play the over or the under for -110. This game currently has a runline of Blue Jays +1.5 (-105) and Red Sox -1.5 (-115).
The Blue Jays are 3-8 SU and are 4-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.5 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 2.3 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 3-8 SU and 1-10 ATS. The team’s lost 8.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.6 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.
Red Sox games have a 7-3-1 over/under record so far in 2019. Toronto has been a decent under bet with a total record of 2-9.
The right-handed Matt Shoemaker (2-0, 0.00 ERA) will get the nod for Toronto. Shoemaker struck out 33 hitters over 31 innings last year (seven starts) while finishing the season 2-2 overall with a 4.94 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP.
The BoSox are turning to lefty Chris Sale (0-2, 8.00 ERA), who struck out 237 hitters over 158 innings last year with only 34 walks. Sale finished the season 12-4 overall with a 2.11 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP. He recorded three starts against Toronto a year ago and registered a 1-0 record with a 3.38 ERA and 21 strikeouts.
Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 3.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.44 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 10.37 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.20, along with a K/9 of 11.67.
The Blue Jays offense has yet to get it going, slashing only .183/.262/.318 on its way to 2.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Freddy Galvis and Richard Urena have led Toronto’s offense. Galvis is hitting .324/.378/.647 with 11 hits, six RBIs and five runs scored, while Urena (.412/.444/.588) has produced seven hits and zero RBIs.
In the other dugout, Boston’s pitchers have given up 6.5 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an 8.57 ERA, 1.86 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.61 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In zero divisional games, Red Sox starters have an ERA of and the bullpen’s ERA is .
Boston’s hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .249/.324/.385 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi have led the Red Sox hitters so far. Martinez is hitting .333/.404/.548 with 14 hits, eight RBIs and five runs scored, and Benintendi’s line sits at .293/.348/.390 with 12 hits, five RBIs and four runs scored.
The Blue Jays have lost 0.5 units and are 1-1 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in zero of those games, as opposed to two that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 5.2 units and are 1-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in three of those games, as opposed to three which went under the total.
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in three of Boston’s last seven games.
- The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight games SU.
- Toronto has posted 15.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 13.8 over its last five.
- The Blue Jays have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 11 over their last 10.
- The Blue Jays have an OPS of .580 this season, including an OPS of .599 against left-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS sits at .686 overall and .832 against lefties.
