Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas Jayhawks – College Football Betting Pick

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The Texas Tech Red Raiders (-3) and Kansas Jayhawks will square off on the turf at Kivisto Field at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium. The game is scheduled to get going at 7:00 p.m. ET and FS1 has the TV rights.

Betting Preview: Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

Kansas is the underdog in this Big 12 game and is currently receiving 3 points. The Red Raiders are also receiving -155 moneyline odds while the Jayhawks are +135. It appears that there could be some good in-game betting scenarios for this matchup, and oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 59 points.

The betting odds have swayed a hair from where they initially opened. The opening line was 3.5 and the game’s over/under was originally set at 58.5.

The Red Raiders are down 0.5 units so far and 3-3-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 4-3.

The surprising Jayhawks have gained 4.8 units this season. They’re 3-4 ATS and also have an O/U record of 4-3.

The Red Raiders have gone 3-4 straight up (SU), including 1-3 SU against Big 12 opponents. The Jayhawks are 2-5 SU overall and are also 0-4 SU in conference play.

The Red Raiders lost to Iowa State 34-24 in a contest where the passing attack was on point, as Jett Duffey completed 40 passes on 52 attempts for 239 yards and one touchdown. SaRodorick Thompson (57 rushing yards on 10 attempts, two TDs) mounted the ground attack in the loss. RJ Turner (11 receptions, 76 yards) and Erik Ezukanma (seven catches, 62 yards) handled the receiving duties.

On October 19, Texas took care of this Kansas crew by a score of 50-48. The Jayhawks defense allowed the Longhorns to pass for 399 yards and four touchdowns while rushing for 239 yards and two scores. Keaontay Ingram had a good outing in the win, recording 101 rushing yards and a score on 14 attempts for Texas. For Kansas, Carter Stanley completed 27-of-47 passes for 310 yards and four touchdowns. Pooka Williams Jr. (190 rushing yards on 25 attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Stanley (65 yards on nine carries) mounted the ground attack in the defeat as Stephon Robinson Jr. (seven receptions, 67 yards, two TDs) and Kwamie Lassiter II (five catches, 66 yards) led the pass-catching corps.

Texas Tech has run the ball on 43.1 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 47.6 percent across possessions in conference play. Kansas has a rush percentage of 53.4 percent, and has carried the ball 47.8 percent of the time against Big 12 opponents. The Red Raiders have rushed for 167.4 yards per game (including 167.5 per game against Big 12 opponents) and have 13 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Jayhawks are totaling 173 rushing yards per game (151.5 in conference) and have seven total rush TDs.

The Red Raiders offensive scheme has logged 310.1 yards per game in the air overall (286.8 per game versus conference opposition) and has 12 passing scores so far. The Jayhawks have recorded 212.1 pass yards per outing (225 in the Big 12) and have 16 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Texas Tech has allowed opponents to run for an average of 184.7 yards and throw for 266.3 yards per game. The Kansas defense has allowed 248.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 223.4 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Red Raiders have given up an ANY/A of 6.82 to opposing QBs, while the Jayhawks are allowing an ANY/A of 6.98.

Stanley has completed 111-of-176 passes for 1,255 yards, 13 TDs and four INTs for Kansas. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 6.91 for the season and 8.25 across his past two outings. In the other locker room, Duffey has amassed 787 passing yards this year. He’s completed 78-of-117 attempts with five passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Duffey’s got a 7.22 ANY/A for the year, though that number sits at 5.20 over the last two games.

These two programs met last year with the final outcome being a 48-16 win for Texas Tech.

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Kansas Jayhawks NCAA Prediction

SU Winner: Texas Tech, ATS Winner: Texas Tech, O/U: Over

Betting Notes

  • The Texas Tech defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 16 times this year. Kansas has recorded 15 sacks.
  • The Kansas offense has lost four fumbles this season while Texas Tech has let three get away.
  • The Red Raiders offense has produced five pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Jayhawks have accounted for two such plays.
  • The Texas Tech defense has allowed 11 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Kansas has given up six such plays.
  • The Texas Tech offense has created nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Kansas has created 16 such runs.
  • The Red Raiders defense has allowed 14 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Jayhawks have given up 15 such runs.
  • The O/U for Kansas’ last matchup was 64. The over cashed in the 50-48 defeat to Texas.
  • In its last three matchups, Kansas is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • In its last three games, Texas Tech is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
  • Texas Tech has lost five of its last six games SU, with a 10-point win over Oklahoma State on October 5th representing the only victory over that span.
  • Kansas has dropped six of its last seven games SU, with a 24-point victory over Boston College on September 13th accounting for the one win over that span.
  • The O/U for Texas Tech’s previous game going into it was 57.5. The over cashed in the team’s 34-24 defeat to Iowa State.
  • As a team, Texas Tech has averaged 4.3 yards per rush attempt across its past three games and 4.1 over its last two.
  • Kansas has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.5 over its last two.