Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick

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The Texas Rangers will pay a visit to Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays. Fox Sports Southwest will showcase this AL matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET.

Texas Rangers at Toronto Blue Jays Odds

The Blue Jays are 61-59 against the spread (ATS), but just 49-72 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 10.6 units for moneyline bettors and 3.6 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Rangers are 59-58 SU and have gone 68-48 against the spread. Overall, the club has accumulated 10.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 13.8 units ATS. Texas has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.

Blue Jays games have an over/under record of 57-58-5 in 2019. The Rangers have been a decent under bet with a total record of 54-60-2.

Right-hander Ariel Jurado will get the nod for Texas. Jurado (6-7, 4.74 ERA) has recorded 69 strikeouts in 92 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with a 0.00 ERA against Toronto this year.

The Blue Jays are putting the ball in the hands of righty Neil Ramirez (0-1, 5.40 ERA), who has 18 strikeouts and nine walks, along with a WHIP of 1.62. Ramirez hasn’t faced the Rangers yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2018.

As a unit, Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 5.22 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.14 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

Toronto’s hitters have produced 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .211/.287/.472 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Blue Jays’ offense has been led by Freddy Galvis and Randal Grichuk. Galvis is hitting .267/.299/.444 with 18 home runs, 54 RBIs and 55 runs scored, while Grichuk’s line sits at .234/.289/.426 with 20 homers, 52 RBIs and 53 runs.

In the other dugout, Texas’ pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.98 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.72 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.75, along with a WHIP of 1.42.

Rangers hitters have slashed .249/.324/.440 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game this season, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 1.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Texas’ offense has been led by Elvis Andrus and Shin-soo Choo. The speedy Andrus is slashing .284/.323/.418 with nine home runs, 55 RBIs, 57 runs and 23 steals, while Choo (.274/.374/.483) is up to 19 homers, 45 RBIs and 72 runs scored.

The Rangers have gained 9.3 units and are 44-32 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 33 of those games, as opposed to 43 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have lost 16.8 units and are 39-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 39 of those games, as opposed to 37 that’ve gone under.

Rangers vs. Blue Jays Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Rangers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in four of Toronto’s last seven games.
  • The Rangers have a total OPS of .764 this season and an OPS of .773 against right-handed pitchers. The Blue Jays’ OPS sits at .725 overall and .722 against righties.
  • Toronto has posted 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.2 over its last five.
  • The Rangers have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 20 over their last 10.