It will be a contest between two tremendous defenses when the 22nd-ranked Texas Tech Red Raiders (18-10, 9-6 Big 12) clash against the Texas Longhorns (17-11, 7-8 Big 12) at United Supermarkets Arena. The game starts at 12 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 29, 2020, and will air on ESPN.
Texas Longhorns at Texas Tech Red Raiders ATS Odds
In their last matchup, the Red Raiders fell to the Oklahoma Sooners, 65-51, while the Longhorns were victorious over the 20th-ranked West Virginia Mountaineers, 67-57.
The Longhorns had an absurd free throw rate of 0.333 (above their season average of 0.144) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.631 (above their season average of 0.500). Texas Tech, meanwhile, forced Oklahoma into a turnover percentage of 21.4 (above their season average of 14.0). Texas Tech rallied around Kevin McCullar, who had 13 points and five rebounds. Courtney Ramey played a pivotal role for Texas with 21 points and five rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Jahmi’us Ramsey led the Red Raiders to a 62-57 win. He recorded 18 points. Texas Tech’s free throw rate was their biggest advantage over Texas. The Red Raiders had a rate of 0.378, while the Longhorns posted a mark of 0.113.
Texas Tech should have the advantage on the defensive side of the ball. The Red Raiders currently rank 40th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.459), while Texas is 159th in effective field goal percentage (0.503). It could also be a sloppy game for the offense of the Longhorns, which ranks 291st in ball security (turnover percentage of 20.7 percent). They’ll be going up against the stingy defense of the Red Raiders, which forces the 18th-most turnovers in the NCAA (23.8 percent).
Texas Longhorns vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Texas, ATS Winner – Texas, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Texas Tech ranks 22nd in assists per game (15.6) while Texas ranks 195th (12.1).
- The Longhorns rank third in three pointers allowed per game (14.9) while the Red Raiders rank 56th (19.2).
- Texas Tech ranks 217th in rebounds per game (33.7) while Texas ranks 269th (31.9).
- The Red Raiders rank 31st in steals per game (8.1) while the Longhorns rank 187th (5.5).
- Texas averages 4.5 blocks per game, which ranks 36th in the nation. Texas Tech ranks 115th in blocks allowed per game (3.4).
Bettings Trends:
- During their last five games, the Longhorns have scored an average of 60.8 points per game (3.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 61.0 points per game (2.3 below their season average).
- The Red Raiders’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 13.2, up from 9.9 for the season.
