In a matchup that showcases a couple of squads ranked in the Top 25 nationally, the No. 25 TCU Horned Frogs (-1) are set to welcome their in-conference rival No. 15 Texas Longhorns at Amon G. Carter Stadium. FOX will broadcast the action and this vital afternoon game is scheduled to start at 3:30 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: TCU Horned Frogs vs. Texas Longhorns
In this Saturday Big 12 matchup, TCU is tabbed as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 1 point. The Longhorns are also receiving -105 moneyline odds while the Horned Frogs are -115. Some good live betting scenarios should exist during this game, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 62.5 points.
This game’s opening line was 1. The total has yet to change after it was set initially at 62.5.
The Longhorns are 4-3 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.0 unit this season. The team has posted an O/U record of 5-2.
The Horned Frogs have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors so far, losing 4.3 units. They’re 2-4 ATS and have an even O/U record of 3-3.
The Longhorns are 5-2 straight up (SU), including 3-1 SU against Big 12 opponents. The Horned Frogs are 3-3 SU overall and are also 1-2 SU in conference play.
The Longhorns enter after a 50-48 win over Kansas last week. Sam Ehlinger completed 31 passes on 44 attempts for 399 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Ehlinger (91 rushing yards on 14 attempts) also led the ground attack in the win and was complemented by Keaontay Ingram (101 yards on 14 carries, one TD). Devin Duvernay (eight receptions, 110 yards, two TDs) and Collin Johnson (eight catches, 96 yards) handled the receiving duties.
TCU most-recently dropped a 24-17 game to Kansas State. The allowed the Wildcats to put up 172 passing yards and 94 rushing yards. Skylar Thompson had a solid showing, recording 68 rushing yards and a score on 10 attempts for Kansas State. For TCU, Max Duggan completed 16-of-29 passes for 132 yards. Duggan (115 rushing yards on 13 attempts, one TD) and Darius Anderson (56 yards on 13 carries) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat while Jalen Reagor (eight receptions, 85 yards) and Taye Barber (four catches, 37 yards) led all TCU pass-catchers.
Texas has run the ball on 50.2 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 53.8 percent across possessions in conference play. TCU has a run percentage of 58.3 percent, and has rushed the ball 60.4 percent of the time when facing Big 12 opponents. The Longhorns have produced 173.9 rush yards per game (including 193 per game versus Big 12 opponents) and have 15 scores via handoffs this year. The Horned Frogs are averaging 239.5 rushing yards per game (218.3 in conference) and have 14 total rush TDs.
If the numbers so far this season can translate to this game, then the Horned Frogs may hold an advantage when it comes to RB effectiveness, since their running backs has logged 5.3 yards per carry while their defense has allowed 3.1 YPC to opponents. The Longhorns have rushed for 4.5 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.6 to opponents.
The Longhorns offense has averaged 307 yards through the air overall (275.3 per game versus conference opposition) and has 21 passing scores so far. The Horned Frogs have produced 202 pass yards per outing (222 against Big 12 foes) and have nine total pass TDs.
Defensively, Texas has allowed 159.9 rush yards and 310 pass yards per game. The TCU defense has allowed 181 yards per game to opposing passers and 100.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Horned Frogs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.4 to opponents, while the Longhorns have given up a 7.18 ANY/A.
Duggan has completed 63-of-117 passes for 655 yards, seven TDs and zero INTs for TCU. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 6.02 for the year and 6.38 over his last two outings. In the other huddle, Ehlinger is up to 1,847 passing yards this season. He’s completed 151-of-217 attempts with 21 passing touchdowns and only three interceptions. Ehlinger’s got an 8.97 ANY/A for the year, though that number is 6.03 over the past two outings.
When these two teams faced each other last year, Texas got the victory over TCU, 31-16.
Texas Longhorns vs. TCU Horned Frogs NCAA Pick
SU Winner: Texas, ATS Winner: Texas, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The Over/Under for Texas’ last game was 64. The over cashed in the team’s 50-48 triumph over Kansas.
- Texas has rushed for 4.4 yards per attempt across its last three outings and 4.5 over its last two.
- TCU has averaged 4.9 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.6 over its last two.
- TCU has lost seven fumbles this season while Texas has lost four.
- In its last three matches, Texas is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- Texas has won five of its last six games SU, with an October 12th defeat to Oklahoma representing the only loss over that stretch.
- The O/U for TCU’s last game was set at 44. The under cashed in the team’s 24-17 loss to Kansas State.
- In its last three matches, TCU is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- TCU has dropped four of its last five games SU, with a 37-point victory over Kansas on September 28th representing the only win over that stretch.
- The Longhorns offense has created six pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Horned Frogs have accounted for three such plays.
- The Texas defense has allowed nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while TCU has given up three such plays.
- The Texas offense has created seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while TCU has created 15 such runs.
- The Longhorns defense has allowed 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Horned Frogs have given up six such runs.
- Each team defense has recorded 11 sacks this season.
