The Texas A&M Aggies (-6) will meet their SEC rival Ole Miss Rebels at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium at Hollingsworth Field. The game is scheduled to start at 7:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to SEC Network.
Betting Preview: Texas A&M Aggies at Ole Miss Rebels
In this Saturday Southeastern game, Texas A&M is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 6 points. The Aggies are also receiving -240 moneyline odds while the Rebels are +190. If one squad catches a lucky break in the early stages it will result in a reasonable betting opportunity in-game. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 56. With the Rebels currently getting 6 points, Vegas is thinking this has the look of a 25-31 victory for the Aggies.
Square bettors have been hammering the Aggies, as the line opened at 5. The total has not changed after being set initially at 56.
The Aggies are down 3.9 units so far in 2019 and 2-3-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 3-3.
The Rebels have lost 1.4 units this season. The team is 4-3 ATS and has an O/U record of 4-3.
The Aggies have gone 3-3 straight up (SU), including 1-2 SU against conference opponents. The Rebels are 3-4 SU overall and 2-2 SU in conference play.
The Aggies are hoping to get back on track after a 47-28 defeat to Alabama last week. Kellen Mond completed 24-of-42 passes for 264 yards and two touchdowns. Mond (90 rushing yards on 16 attempts, one TD) also mounted the running attack and was complemented by Isaiah Spiller (27 yards on 10 carries) in the loss. Quartney Davis (seven receptions, 81 yards) and Spiller (five catches, 41 yards) shared the receiving duties.
Ole Miss just suffered a 38-27 loss to Missouri. The team’s defense allowed the Tigers to pass for 329 yards while rushing for 233 yards and three scores. Larry Rountree III had a good showing in the win, posting 126 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 21 attempts for Missouri. As a group, the Rebels collectively completed 18-of-33 passes for 236 yards and two touchdowns. John Rhys Plumlee went eight-for-17 for 103 yards and two touchdowns while Matt Corral was 10-of-16 for 133 yards. Plumlee (143 yards on 23 rush attempts, two TDs) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat while Elijah Moore (eight receptions, 102 yards, one TD) and Phillips (three catches, 37 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack.
Texas A&M’s run the ball on 42.2 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 39.4 percent across possessions in conference play. Ole Miss has a rush percentage of 61.4 percent, and has kept it on the ground 65.6 percent of the time when playing SEC opponents. The Aggies have produced 132 rush yards per game (including 90 per game against Southeastern opponents) and have nine scores via handoffs this year. The Rebels are totaling 230 rush yards per game (283.3 in conference) and have 14 total rushing TDs.
It seems like the Rebels may have the edge in terms of efficiency in the ground game. Their backfield has logged 5.0 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 3.5 to opponents. The Aggies have ran for 4.4 yards per carry while allowing 4.0 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Aggies offense has averaged 288 yards through the air overall (283.3 per game versus conference opposition) and has 14 passing scores so far. The Rebels have put up 208.3 pass yards per outing (195 against SEC competition) and have nine total pass TDs.
Texas A&M seems to have an edge when it comes to limiting the pass. The team’s let opponents rush for an average of 116.2 yards and pass for 208.3 yards per game. The Ole Miss defense has allowed 300.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 118.4 yards per game on the ground. The Aggies are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.83 to opposing QBs, while the Rebels have given up a 6.96 ANY/A.
Offensively, Mond is up to 1,346 passing yards on the year, and has completed 63 percent of his 188 attempts with nine passing scores and three interceptions. He has a 6.77 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.14 over the last two outings.
In the home locker room, John Rhys Plumlee has connected on 25-of-52 passes for 326 yards, four TDs and one INT. Plumlee’s ANY/A stands at 6.72 for the year and 5.95 across his past two outings.
When these two teams met last year, Texas A&M knocked off Ole Miss by a pair of touchdowns 38-24.
Texas A&M Aggies at Ole Miss Rebels NCAA Prediction
SU Winner: Texas A&M, ATS Winner: Texas A&M, O/U: Under
Betting Notes
- The Ole Miss defense has registered double the sack total of Texas A&M this year (18 to nine).
- The Ole Miss offense has lost five fumbles in 2019 while the Texas A&M offense has lost six.
- The Aggies offense has produced two pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Rebels have put up three such plays.
- The Texas A&M defense has allowed one pass play of 40 yards or more, while Ole Miss has given up nine such plays.
- The Texas A&M offense has created eight rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Ole Miss has created 21 such runs.
- The Aggies defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Rebels have given up three such runs.
- Texas A&M, as a team, has produced 3.3 yards per carry over its past three games and 3.5 over its last two.
- Ole Miss has averaged 6.1 yards per carry over its last three contests and 6.9 over its last two.
