Texas A&M Aggies at Georgia Bulldogs: 11/23/2019 Free Pick

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One four-game unbeaten streak is sure to conclude as the No. 4 Georgia Bulldogs will take the field against the No. 24 Texas A&M Aggies. CBS will televise the action and kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET. These two conference foes did not get a chance to play one another in 2018.

Betting Preview: Georgia Bulldogs vs. Texas A&M Aggies

In this Saturday Southeastern matchup, Georgia is tabbed as the heavy favorite and the team’s currently giving up 14 points. If they are wanting to play the moneyline, gamblers would currently have to put up $600 in order to win $100 back on the Dawgs (-600). The Aggies are getting +425 moneyline odds. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 45 points, and if one team catches a lucky break early, it will likely result in a nice live betting opportunity.

Odds have moved slightly from where they originally opened. The line opened at -14 while the game’s total was placed initially at 45.5.

The Aggies are down 0.8 units so far and 5-4-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 5-5.

The Bulldogs are up 4.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 6-4 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-8.

The Aggies are 7-3 straight up (SU), including 4-2 SU against SEC opponents. The Bulldogs are 9-1 SU overall and 6-1 SU in conference play.

Each team enters this matchup on a four-game undefeated streak. The Aggies are trying to keep things going after a solid 30-6 win over South Carolina last week where Kellen Mond completed 20-of-33 passes for 221 yards and one touchdown. Isaiah Spiller (129 yards on 24 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Mond (47 yards on 10 carries, one TD) led the ground attack. Jalen Wydermyer (five receptions, 79 yards) and Quartney Davis (five catches, 48 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

Georgia is coming off of a 21-14 win over Auburn. The team’s let the Tigers pass for 245 yards and rush for 84 more. Seth Williams had a productive outing in the defeat, posting 121 yards on 13 catches for Auburn. For Georgia, Jake Fromm completed 13-of-28 passes for 110 yards and three touchdowns. D’Andre Swift (106 rushing yards on 17 attempts) handled the running game while Demetris Robertson (three receptions, 20 yards) and Swift (two catches, -3 yards) led the receiving attack in the win.

Texas A&M has run the ball on 48.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Georgia has an overall rush percentage of 57.2 percent. The Aggies have rushed for 175 yards/game (including 160.2 per game against Southeastern opponents) and have 21 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Dawgs are logging 208.4 rush yards per game (199.3 in conference) and have 18 total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Dawgs could have the advantage in all aspects of the ground game, as their backfield has produced 5.4 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 2.7 YPC to opponents. The Aggies have tallied 5.1 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.3 to opponents.

The Aggies offense has logged 259.3 yards/contest in the air overall (246.2 per game against conference opposition) and has 20 passing TDs so far. The Dawgs have put up 220.3 pass yards per outing (191 in the SEC) and have 18 total pass scores.

Defensively, Texas A&M has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 132.4 yards and pass for 195.2 yards per game. The Georgia D has allowed 191.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 75.5 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Aggies have given up an ANY/A of 4.46 to opposing QBs, while the Dawgs are yielding an ANY/A of 4.44.

Offensively, Mond is up to 2,224 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 194-of-307 attempts with 17 scores through the air and six interceptions. He has a 6.68 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.72 over the last two outings.

The Aggies will likely try to maintain tempo by putting the ball into the hands of their running backs. The tagteam of Isaiah Spiller (579 rush yards, five rush TDs) and Cordarrian Richardson (197 rush yards, three rush TDs, one receiving TD) have really been focal points in the Texas A&M offensive scheme.

Jake Fromm has connected on 156-of-232 passes for 1,795 yards, 14 TDs and three INTs for Georgia. His ANY/A stands at 8.07 for the year and 6.20 over his past two outings.

The Dawgs also like to keep their backfield featured. In addition to D’Andre Swift (169 receiving yards, one receiving TD), Lawrence Cager (383 receiving yards and four receiving TDs) and George Pickens (333 receiving yards and two TDs) have gotten a lot of touches recently.

Texas A&M Aggies at Georgia Bulldogs Free Prediction

SU Winner: Georgia, ATS Winner: Georgia, O/U: Under

Betting Notes

  • The Aggies offense has registered three pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Bulldogs have put up six such plays.
  • The Texas A&M defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Georgia has given up five such plays.
  • The Texas A&M offense has created 19 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Georgia has created 15 such runs.
  • The Aggies defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Bulldogs have given up three such runs.
  • The Georgia D has sacked opposing QBs 22 times this season. Texas A&M has produced 19 sacks.
  • As a team, Texas A&M has produced 6.3 yards per carry over its past three outings and 6.8 over its last two.
  • Georgia has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.1 over its last two.