To conclude the 2019 regular season, the Houston Texans are getting six points when they play host to their AFC South rival Tennessee Titans to NRG Stadium. Fans are able to tune in to the action on CBS and this critical late afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 4:25 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans
Houston is a live dog here and is currently getting 6 points. The Titans are also receiving -230 moneyline odds while the Texans are +190. If one team can catch a lucky break early it will produce a nice betting opportunity in-game. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 45.5 points.
Sharp bettors are hammering both the Titans and the under. The opening line was originally -1 while the O/U was set initially at 49.
The Titans have gained 0.8 units this season and are 7-7-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 9-6.
The Texans are up 2.8 units for moneyline bettors this year. They’re 7-8 ATS and have an O/U record of 6-9.
The Titans are 8-7 straight up (SU), including 2-3 SU against AFC South opponents. The Texans are 10-5 SU overall and 4-1 SU against divisional foes.
Tennessee comes into this matchup on a two-game winning streak while Houston has come up short in its last two in a row. The Titans hope to get back on track after a 38-28 defeat to New Orleans last week. Ryan Tannehill completed 17 passes for 272 yards and three touchdowns. Dion Lewis (68 yards on 15 rushes) provided the running attack in the loss while Tajae Sharpe (five receptions, 69 yards, two TDs) and Jonnu Smith (three catches, 63 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.
The Houston Texans just earned a 23-20 win over Tampa Bay in Week 16. The team’s defensive unit let the Buccaneers pass for 335 yards while rushing for 106 yards. Ronald Jones II was a bright spot in the defeat for Tampa Bay, recording 77 rushing yards and a score on 14 attempts, along with 32 yards and a score on three catches. For Houston, Deshaun Watson completed 19-of-32 passes for 184 yards and one interception. Carlos Hyde (27 rushing yards on 17 attempts, one TD) mounted the ground attack in the win as Kenny Stills (five receptions, 57 yards) and DeAndre Hopkins (five catches, 23 yards) led the pass-catching attack.
Tennessee has run the ball on 48.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Houston has a rush percentage of 45.1 percent. The Titans have produced 131.9 rush yards per game (including 150.2 per game against South opponents) and have 18 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Texans are logging 126.7 rush yards per game (136.2 in conference) and have 15 total rushing TDs.
If 2019 results can translate to this game, then the Titans could have an edge in all aspects of the ground game, since their backfield has produced 4.9 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 4.0 YPC to opponents. The Texans have tallied 4.6 yards per carry and allowed a YPC of 4.6 to opponents.
The Titans offense has logged 248.9 yards per game in the air overall (235.6 per game against conference opposition) and has 27 passing scores so far. The Texans have produced 257.2 pass yards per game (242 against AFC competition) and also have 27 total pass TDs.
On the defensive side of the ball, Tennessee has allowed 104.2 rush yards and 275.4 pass yards per game. The Houston defense has allowed 284.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 112.8 yards per game on the ground. The Titans are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.33 to opponents, while the Texans have given up a 6.94 ANY/A.
Offensively, Tannehill has amassed 2,265 passing yards this year. The signal-caller has completed 72 percent of his 230 attempts with 18 scores through the air and only five interceptions. Tannehill’s got a pristine 8.49 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.17 over the last two outings.
Look for a balanced attack offensively from Tennessee in this one. A.J. Brown (60 rushing yards, one rush TD, 813 receiving yards, six receiving touchdowns on the year), Jonnu Smith (57 rush yards, 379 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) and Dion Lewis (192 rush yards, 153 receiving yards) have each played significant roles lately.
Deshaun Watson has managed to complete 314-of-468 passes for 3,609 yards, 24 TDs and 10 INTs for Houston. His ANY/A stands at 6.64 for the year and 4.62 over his last two games.
DeAndre Hopkins (1,046 receiving yards, seven receiving touchdowns on the year), Carlos Hyde (953 rush yards, five rush TDs) and Kenny Stills (526 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) have combined for 375 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns over the last couple of games.
Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans Betting Prediction
SU Winner: Titans, ATS Winner: Texans, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The Tennessee defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 39 times this season. Houston has registered just 31 sacks.
- The Houston offense has lost eight fumbles in 2019 while Tennessee has let nine get away.
- The Titans offense has registered 13 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Texans have accounted for 10 such plays.
- The Tennessee defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Houston has given up 10 such plays.
- Both teams have produced 12 rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Tennessee offense has recorded 55 running plays of 10+ yards while Houston has accounted for 47 such plays.
- The Titans defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Texans have given up 11 such runs.
- The O/U for Houston’s last outing was set at 55.5. The under cashed in the team’s 23-20 victory over Tampa Bay.
- In its last three matchups, Houston is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- In its last three games, Tennessee is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- Houston has won five of its last six games SU, with a -14-point defeat to Denver on December 8th accounting for the only loss over that stretch.
- The Over/Under for Tennessee’s previous game was set at 47.5. The over cashed in the team’s 38-28 loss to New Orleans.
- Tennessee has averaged 5.5 yards per carry over its past three contests and 5.8 over its last two.
- Houston has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.4 over its past two.
