The Baltimore Orioles are set to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays at Camden Yards. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will showcase the matchup.
Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Vegas is listing Baltimore (+130) as the underdog to Tampa Bay (-140). If you think this game’s total will go under 9.5 runs, Vegas is currently offering -110 odds. Picking the over will give you -110 odds. You can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Rays -1.5 runs (+105) and Orioles +1.5 runs (-125).
The Rays have gone 52-39 SU this year and are 48-43 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having gained 1.4 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 27-62 SU and 37-52 ATS. They’ve lost 17.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 21.1 units ATS. Baltimore has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Orioles games have an over/under record of 45-39-5 so far in 2019. The Rays have been a decent under bet with a total record of 38-47-6.
The right-handed Yonny Chirinos is the projected starter for Tampa Bay. Chirinos is 7-4 with a 3.15 ERA and 81 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with eight strikeouts and a 2.19 ERA against Baltimore this year.
The Orioles are putting the ball in the right hand of Dylan Bundy (4-10, 4.65 ERA, 1.30 WHIP), who’s got 96 strikeouts and 32 walks this season. Bundy is 1-1 with nine strikeouts and a 2.19 ERA across two starts against Tampa Bay this year.
Baltimore’s pitchers have given up 6.1 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.26 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.21 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 39 games against divisional foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 4.62 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.74.
The Baltimore hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .228/.290/.409 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar have led the charge for the Orioles’ batters this year. Mancini is slashing .291/.351/.517 with 17 home runs, 40 RBIs and 56 runs scored, and Villar is batting .259 with 10 homers, 37 RBIs, 55 runs and 17 steals.
In the visiting dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.01 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 10.06 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.71, along with a WHIP of 1.06 and a K/9 of 9.01.
Rays hitters have slashed .254/.327/.423 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game this year, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Outfielders Tommy Pham and Avisail Garcia have led Tampa Bay’s offense. Pham is slashing .281/.379/.460 with 13 home runs, 38 RBIs, 42 runs and eight steals, while Garcia (.276/.333/.445) has produced 12 homers, 43 RBIs, 39 runs and nine steals.
The Rays have lost 2.0 units and are 30-28 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 27 of those games, compared to 26 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 10.4 units and are 25-30 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 27 of those games, compared to 25 that went under the total.
Rays at Orioles Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in just two of Baltimore’s last seven games.
- The Rays have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 16 over their last 10.
- The Rays have an OPS of .750 this season and an OPS of .761 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS stands at .706 overall and .692 against righties.
- Tampa Bay has posted 21.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 22.8 over its last five.
