St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres Free Preview

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres are set to host the St. Louis Cardinals at PETCO Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will showcase this NL matchup.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres Odds

Vegas is listing St. Louis (+105) as the underdog to San Diego (-115). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over 8.5 runs and +100 for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -200 for the Cardinals +1.5 runs and +170 for the Padres -1.5.

The Cardinals are 40-39 SU and have gone 40-39 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having gained 0.6 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 40-40 SU and 36-44 ATS. The team has lost 2.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.7 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Padres games have had an over/under record of 40-34-6 so far in 2019. Cardinals games have gone under 39 times, gone over 35 times and pushed on five occasions.

Michael Wacha will get the start for the visiting Cardinals. The right-handed Wacha is 5-3 with a 5.59 ERA and 60 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.59 ERA against San Diego this year.

The Padres are handing the ball to lefty Eric Lauer (5-7, 4.32 ERA), who’s got 63 strikeouts and 23 walks, along with a 1.32 WHIP. Lauer hasn’t faced the Cardinals yet this year, but he made two starts against them in 2018, putting together a 1-1 record with a 9.00 ERA.

San Diego’s pitching staff has yielded 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.34 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.94 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.

San Diego’s offense is putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 6.8 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .265/.355/.497 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado have led the Padres’ offense this year. Hosmer is slashing .287/.342/.450 with 12 home runs, 55 RBIs and 45 runs scored, while Machado is hitting .280 with 17 homers, 49 RBIs and 48 runs.

In the other dugout, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.27 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.80 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.98, along with a WHIP of 1.37.

The Cardinals offense has slashed .243/.322/.400 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Paul DeJong and left fielder Marcell Ozuna have paced St. Louis’ hitters. DeJong is hitting .263/.350/.468 with 13 home runs, 36 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while Ozuna (.261/.333/.519) is up to 20 homers, 62 RBIs, 52 runs and eight steals.

The Cardinals have lost 3.5 units and are 6-9 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in eight of those games, as opposed to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 1.1 units and are 29-38 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 34 of those games, compared to 28 that went under the total.

Cardinals at Padres MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • St. Louis has tallied 10 extra-base hits over its last five outings. San Diego has 21 XBH over its last five.
  • The Cardinals have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 17 over their last 10.
  • The Cardinals have a total OPS of .721 this season and an OPS of .724 against left-handed pitchers. The Padres’ OPS sits at .740 overall and .781 against lefties.
  • St. Louis has posted 17.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.4 over its last five.