The St. Louis Cardinals will square off against their divisional rival Milwaukee Brewers in a Wednesday matinee. Fox Sports Midwest will be televising the action and the game is scheduled to get underway at 2:10 p.m. ET.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
St. Louis (receiving -125) is entering this one as the favorite over Milwaukee (+115) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). The game’s most recent runline odds stand at +120 for taking the Cardinals -1.5 runs and -140 for the Brewers +1.5 runs.
The Cardinals are 73-58 SU and have gone 69-61 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle very much this year, gaining 3.1 units for moneyline bettors and 5.8 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 67-65 SU and 56-75 ATS. They’ve lost 8.7 units for moneyline bettors and 24.5 units ATS. Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Milwaukee games have a 59-68-4 over/under record in 2019. St. Louis has also been a strong under bet with a total record of 52-68-10.
Jack Flaherty will get the start for St. Louis. The right-handed Flaherty is 8-6 with a 3.32 ERA and 171 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 18 strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA against Milwaukee this year (three starts).
The Brewers are turning to righty Jordan Lyles (8-8, 4.61 ERA), who’s got 113 punchouts and 46 walks, along with a 1.36 WHIP. Lyles is 1-1 with nine strikeouts and a 7.04 ERA over two starts against St. Louis this year.
Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.74, a WHIP of 1.39 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.73 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 59 games against NL Central opponents, Brewers starters have an ERA of 5.14 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.11.
The Milwaukee hitters have put up 4.8 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .248/.351/.424 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas have led the charge for the Brewers’ hitters this year. Yelich is slashing .330/.424/.675 with 41 home runs, 89 RBIs, 91 runs and 25 steals, and Moustakas has put up a line of .263/.334/.528 with 31 homers, 76 RBIs and 71 runs.
For the visiting squad, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.10 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.11 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.64, along with a K-per-9 of 9.80.
The Cardinals offense has slashed .247/.324/.412 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 8.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
St. Louis’ hitters have been paced by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and shortstop Paul DeJong. Goldschmidt is slashing .258/.334/.467 with 29 home runs, 71 RBIs and 81 runs scored, while DeJong (.246/.330/.459) has produced 24 homers, 64 RBIs and 85 runs scored.
The Cardinals have gained 4.3 units and are 57-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 39 of those games, as opposed to 58 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 3.0 units and are 40-50 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 46 of those games, compared to 42 that’ve gone under.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- St. Louis has logged 21 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Milwaukee has 16 XBH over its last five.
- The Cardinals have a team OPS of .735 this season and an OPS of .731 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .776 overall and .785 against righties.
- The Cardinals have won nine of their last 10 games SU.
- St. Louis has recorded 25.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 31.4 over its last five.
- The Cardinals have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
