The Chicago Cubs will try to stave off their fourth consecutive loss when they play host to the St. Louis Cardinals at Wrigley Field. The matchup starts at 2:20 p.m. ET and fans can watch it on either WLS or FSMW.
St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs Odds
The Cubs are 82-71 straight up (SU) and 73-79 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.0 units for moneyline bettors and 5.7 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Cardinals are 86-67 SU and have gone 80-72 ATS. In total, the club has gained 4.2 units for moneyline bettors and 5.8 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Chicago games have an over/under record of 69-72-11 in 2019. The Cardinals have been a great under bet with a total record of 60-80-12.
The right-handed Michael Wacha is projected to start for St. Louis. Wacha is 6-7 with a 4.76 ERA and 100 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA against Chicago this year.
The Cubs are turning to Alec Mills (1-0, 3.42 ERA). Mills has 27 strikeouts and seven walks, along with a 1.18 WHIP. Mills has yet to face the Cardinals this year and did not register a start against them in 2018.
Chicago’s pitching staff has allowed 4.3 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.11, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 3.87 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 67 games against divisional foes, Cubs starters have an ERA of 3.97 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.99.
Chicago’s hitters have produced 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .253/.319/.477 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Third baseman Kris Bryant and shortstop Javier Baez have led the way for the Cubs’ hitters this year. Bryant is slashing .284/.382/.527 with 31 home runs, 77 RBIs and 107 runs scored, while Baez is batting .281 with 29 homers, 85 RBIs and 89 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.79 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.01 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.78, along with a WHIP of 1.29 and a K/9 of 9.84.
Cardinals hitters have slashed .246/.323/.414 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
St. Louis’ hitters have been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and second baseman Kolten Wong. Goldschmidt is slashing .259/.345/.471 with 31 home runs, 89 RBIs and 89 runs scored, while Wong is hitting .285/.361/.423 with 11 homers, 59 RBIs, 61 runs and 24 stolen bases.
The Cubs have gained 3.5 units and are 60-60 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 56 of those games, compared to 55 that’ve gone under against righty starters.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- St. Louis has recorded 17 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Chicago has 21 XBH over its last five.
- The Cardinals have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 21 over their last 10.
- The Cardinals have a total OPS of .736 this season and an OPS of .737 against right-handed pitchers. The Cubs’ OPS sits at .787 overall and .794 against righties.
- Chicago has recorded 26.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.0 over its last five.
