SMU Mustangs vs. South Florida Bulls Free Prediction 03/10/19

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The South Florida Bulls (19-11, 8-9 AAC) welcome the SMU Mustangs (13-16, 5-12 AAC) to USF Sun Dome as the regular season wraps up. The game will air on ESPNU at 4 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 10, 2019.

SMU Mustangs at South Florida Bulls ATS Odds

In their last game, the Bulls beat the Tulane Green Wave, 75-70, while the Mustangs lost to the 12th-ranked Houston Cougars, 90-79.

South Florida dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 47.5 (above their season average of 38.1) and a turnover percentage of 15.6 (better than their season average of 19.5). For those same stats, Tulane had marks of 35.3 and 17.5, respectively. SMU, on the other hand, did a fantastic job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (21-26; 80.8 percent). David Collins played a pivotal role for South Florida with 20 points and five assists. Meanwhile, SMU was lifted by Jahmal McMurray, who put up 24 points.

In their first matchup this season, Collins led the Bulls to a 67-66 victory. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 23 points. South Florida made 11 of their 25 three pointers (44.0 percent). SMU was, meanwhile, 6-21 (28.6 percent).

South Florida could own the offensive glass in this contest. The Bulls are among the NCAA’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking second in offensive rebounding percentage at 38.5 percent. Meanwhile, SMU ranks 292nd in the nation at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 69.0 percent. Furthermore, the Mustangs rank 60th in turnover percentage (16.8 percent), while the Bulls rank 25th in opponents’ turnover percentage (22.6 percent).

SMU Mustangs vs. South Florida Bulls Pick

College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – South Florida, ATS Winner – South Florida, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • SMU ranks 12th in steals allowed per game (4.9) while South Florida ranks 170th (7.0).
  • The Bulls rank 23rd in rebounds per game (39.2) while the Mustangs rank 122nd (36.1).
  • The Mustangs rank 46th in blocks allowed per game (2.7) while the Bulls rank 174th (4.1).
  • South Florida ranks 123rd in assists per game (13.7) while SMU ranks 250th in assists allowed per game (15.3).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Bulls’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.0, down from 5.8 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Mustangs have scored an average of 61.6 points per game (10.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 72.6 points per game (2.6 above their season average).