Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

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The Toronto Blue Jays are playing host to the Seattle Mariners at Rogers Centre. This AL matchup gets underway at 1:07 p.m. ET and you can watch the game on either RTNW or RSN.

Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Toronto (-150) is favored over Seattle (+140) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 10.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). You can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds coming in at Mariners +1.5 runs (-155) and Blue Jays -1.5 runs (+135).

The Blue Jays are 65-60 against the spread (ATS), but just 52-74 straight up (SU). The team has lost 9.7 units for moneyline bettors while earning 0.6 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Mariners are 51-73 SU and have gone 59-64 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 16.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 15.9 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Blue Jays games have an over/under record of 58-60-7 in 2019. The Mariners have been a great over bet with a total record of 70-43-10.

Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi is the probable starter for Seattle. Kikuchi is 4-8 with a 5.56 ERA and 95 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Blue Jays this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Blue Jays will turn to righty Wilmer Font (3-2, 4.40 ERA), who has 63 strikeouts and 21 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.26. Font only made one start against the Mariners in 2018 (0-1, 6.23 ERA and five strikeouts across 4.1 innings).

As a unit, Toronto’s pitchers have given up 4.9 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.19, a WHIP of 1.49 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 4.10 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

Toronto’s hitters have produced 4.6 runs per outing, including 5.8 per game over its last 10 games and 7.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .305/.366/.638 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Blue Jays’ batters have been led by Freddy Galvis and Randal Grichuk. Galvis is hitting .267/.299/.444 with 18 home runs, 54 RBIs and 55 runs scored, while Grichuk is batting .239 with 23 homers, 58 RBIs and 59 runs.

For the visitors, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 5.7 runs per game and its starters own a 5.35 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.03 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.97, along with a WHIP of 1.43.

Mariners hitters have slashed .242/.321/.438 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Seattle’s hitters have been paced by left fielder Domingo Santana and catcher Omar Narvaez. Santana is hitting .259/.335/.453 with 21 home runs, 69 RBIs and 63 runs scored, while Narvaez is hitting .287/.361/.464 with 17 homers, 43 RBIs and 53 runs scored.

The Mariners have lost 8.8 units and are 43-41 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 49 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 4.8 units and are 22-19 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to 21 that went under the total.

Mariners at Blue Jays MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Seattle has logged 19 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Toronto has 31 XBH over its last five.
  • The Mariners have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
  • The Mariners have an OPS of .759 this season and an OPS of .748 against right-handed pitchers. The Blue Jays’ OPS stands at .737 overall and .731 against righties.
  • Seattle has posted 20.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.4 over its last five.