The Seattle Mariners are set to square off against their divisional rival Houston Astros in a Sunday day game. The matchup begins at 2:10 p.m. ET and fans can catch it on RTNW and ATSW.
Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros Odds
Houston (receiving -430 odds) is the giant favorite against Seattle and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total now stand at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at +165 for picking the Mariners +1.5 runs and -190 for the Astros -1.5 runs.
The Mariners have gone 58-85 SU this year and are 70-72 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 12.1 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Astros, on the other hand, are 93-50 SU and 76-66 ATS. The team has gained 2.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.3 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Houston games have an over/under record of 64-73-5 in 2019. Seattle has been a strong over bet with a total record of 79-53-10.
The right-handed Felix Hernandez is the probable starter for the visiting Mariners. Hernandez is 1-5 with a 6.02 ERA and 46 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Houston this year.
The Astros will turn to righty Gerrit Cole (15-5, 2.81 ERA), who’s got 266 strikeouts and 43 walks, in addition to a 0.95 WHIP. Cole is 2-0 with 21 strikeouts and a 2.08 ERA over two starts against Seattle this year.
Houston’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.71, a WHIP of 1.11 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.4. The bullpen has a 3.71 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 60 divisional games, Astros starters have an ERA of 3.81 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.11.
Houston’s offense is putting up 5.5 runs per contest, including 6.0 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .237/.315/.446 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Left fielder Michael Brantley and first baseman Yuli Gurriel have led the Astros’ batters this year. Brantley is slashing .321/.381/.518 with 20 home runs, 84 RBIs and 84 runs scored, and Gurriel’s line is .304/.349/.547 with 27 homers, 98 RBIs and 78 runs.
For the visitors, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 5.6 runs per game and its starters own a 5.26 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.01 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.92, along with a WHIP of 1.42.
Mariners hitters have slashed .240/.321/.434 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).
Seattle’s offensive production has been led by outfielders Domingo Santana and Mallex Smith. Santana is slashing .256/.332/.449 with 21 home runs, 69 RBIs and 63 runs scored, while Smith (.234/.305/.350) is up to six homers, 35 RBIs, 66 runs and 40 stolen bases.
The Mariners have lost 4.6 units and are 50-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 53 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Astros have lost 8.2 units and are 54-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 49 of those games, compared to 51 that went under the total.
Mariners vs. Astros MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in three of Seattle’s last seven outings.
- The Mariners have a team OPS of .755 this season and an OPS of .746 against right-handed pitchers. The Astros’ OPS sits at .840 overall and .815 versus righties.
- The Mariners have lost seven of their last eight games SU while the Astros have won five of their last six.
- Seattle has posted 19.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.2 over its last five.
- The Mariners have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
