Domingo Santana and the slumping Seattle Mariners are making a road trip to Minute Maid Park to face a divisional foe in the Houston Astros. The game gets going at 8:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be televised on both RTNW and ATSW.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Odds
Las Vegas has Seattle (+225) as the underdog to Houston (-245). The total currently stands at 9.5 runs and bettors can play the over for even money (+100) and the under for -120. There’s a runline of Mariners +1.5 (+100) and Astros -1.5 (-120) for this matchup.
The Mariners have gone 58-82 SU this year and are 70-70 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 14.7 units for moneyline bettors and 10.1 units ATS. Seattle is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Astros, on the other hand, are 90-50 SU and 74-66 ATS. They’ve gained 0.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 2.3 units ATS. Houston has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Houston games have a 62-73-5 over/under record in 2019. The Mariners have been a great over bet with a total record of 77-53-10.
Southpaw Marco Gonzales is the projected starter for Seattle. Gonzales is 14-11 with a 4.30 ERA and 128 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with 10 strikeouts and a 5.28 ERA against Houston this year (three starts).
The Astros are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Wade Miley (13-4, 3.06 ERA), who has 134 punchouts and 54 walks as well as a 1.22 WHIP. Miley is 1-0 with 16 strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA across four starts against Seattle this year.
Seattle’s pitching staff allowed 5.6 runs per game and its starters own a 5.24 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 7.06 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.91, along with a WHIP of 1.41.
Mariners hitters have slashed .241/.322/.435 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Seattle’s offensive production has been sparked by outfielders Domingo Santana and Mallex Smith. Santana is hitting .256/.332/.449 with 21 home runs, 69 RBIs and 63 runs scored, while Smith (.239/.310/.358) has produced six homers, 35 RBIs, 65 runs and 39 steals.
In the other dugout, Houston’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 3.66 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.77 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 57 divisional games, Astros starters have an ERA of 3.68 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.20.
The Houston offense has put up 5.5 runs per contest, including 6.0 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .237/.310/.385 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Outfielder Michael Brantley and first baseman Yuli Gurriel have led the way for the Astros’ batters this year. Brantley is hitting .324/.385/.521 with 19 home runs, 80 RBIs and 82 runs scored, while Gurriel’s line sits at .305/.348/.546 with 27 homers, 97 RBIs and 78 runs.
The Mariners have lost 10.1 units and are 20-26 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 24 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Astros have netted 9.8 units and are 21-17 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under.
Mariners at Astros Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in just two of Seattle’s last seven games.
- The Mariners have lost four of their last five games SU.
- Seattle has posted 16.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.6 over its last five.
- The Mariners have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 16 over their last 10.
- The Mariners have a total OPS of .757 this season, including an OPS of .751 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Astros’ OPS stands at .840 overall and .886 against southpaws.
