The Seattle Mariners are set to take the field against the Baltimore Orioles in a Sunday matinee. This AL matchup starts at 1:05 p.m. ET and you can watch the game on RTNW and MASN.
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds
Baltimore (-115) is hosting this one as the favorite against Seattle (+105) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Mariners +1.5 runs (-200) and Orioles -1.5 runs (+170).
The Mariners have gone 66-89 SU this year and are 77-77 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 14.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.0 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 50-105 SU and 64-90 ATS. They’ve lost 21.2 units for moneyline bettors and 32.6 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Orioles games have an over/under record of 78-64-12 in 2019. Seattle has also been a solid over bet with a total record of 84-59-11.
Marco Gonzales is getting the start for the visiting Mariners. The left-handed Gonzales is 16-11 with a 4.14 ERA and 139 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Orioles are going with lefty John Means (10-11, 3.65 ERA), who has 112 strikeouts and 35 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.13. Means did not record a start against the Mariners in 2018.
As a unit, Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 6.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.65 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.91 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.
The Baltimore offense is putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .257/.329/.471 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Orioles’ batters have been led by second baseman Jonathan Villar and right fielder Trey Mancini. Villar is slashing .276/.343/.459 with 23 home runs, 69 RBIs, 106 runs and 38 stolen bases, and Mancini’s line is .286/.356/.532 with 34 homers, 93 RBIs and 101 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 5.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.33 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 6.99 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.93, along with a WHIP of 1.45 and a K-per-9 of 8.71.
The Mariners offense has slashed .240/.321/.431 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Seattle’s offensive production has been sparked by catcher Omar Narvaez and right fielder Mallex Smith. Narvaez is slashing .284/.358/.472 with 22 home runs, 55 RBIs and 63 runs scored. Smith is hitting .229/.303/.339 with six homers, 37 RBIs, 69 runs and 45 stolen bases.
The Mariners have lost 13.1 units and are 20-29 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 26 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 7.5 units and are 24-34 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 30 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve gone under.
Mariners at Orioles Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Seattle has recorded 15 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Baltimore has 23 XBH over its last five.
- The Mariners have a team OPS of .752 this season and an OPS of .760 against left-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS sits at .724 overall and .745 against lefties.
- The Mariners have won six of their last seven games SU.
- Seattle has recorded 24.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.2 over its last five.
- The Mariners have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
