The San Jose State Spartans (+9) are set to take on the Army West Point Black Knights (-9) at Blaik Field at Michie Stadium. This afternoon matchup kicks off at 12:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to CBS Sports Network.
Betting Preview: Army West Point Black Knights vs. San Jose State Spartans
In this Saturday game, Army West Point has been tabbed as the heavy favorite and the team’s currently giving up 9 points. The Spartans are also receiving +270 moneyline odds while the Black Knights are -350. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 50.5 points. There will probably be some decent live betting opportunities for this game.
The sharp action is siding with the Spartans, as the line opened at -11. The game’s over/under has yet to move after being set initially at 50.5.
The Spartans are 3-3-1 against the spread (ATS) and are down 2.0 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an Over-Under record of 2-5.
The Black Knights have lost 4.1 units this season. The team is 2-5 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-4-1.
The Spartans are 3-4 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Black Knights are also 3-4 SU.
The Spartans lost to San Diego State 27-17 in a contest where Josh Love completed just 19 passes on 36 attempts for 218 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Kairee Robinson (59 rushing yards on 14 attempts) led the ground attack. Bailey Gaither (four receptions, 75 yards, one TD) and Isaiah Hamilton (four catches, 71 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
One week ago, Georgia State took care of this Army West Point crew by a score of 28-21. The Black Knights defense let the Panthers run for 147 yards on 32 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Tra Barnett had a solid outing for Georgia State, recording 108 rushing yards and a score on 17 attempts. For Army West Point, Kelvin Hopkins Jr. completed six-of-10 passes for 65 yards and one interception. Hopkins Jr. (70 yards on 20 rush attempts) and Sandon McCoy (71 yards on 19 carries, two TDs) handled the running game while Camden Harrison (four receptions, 58 yards) and Artice Hobbs IV (two catches, seven yards) led the Army West Point pass-catchers in the loss.
San Jose State has run the ball on 40 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Army West Point has an overall rush percentage of 84.7 percent. The Spartans have rushed for 84.7 yards/game and have 10 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Black Knights are totaling 254.6 rushing yards per game and have 20 total rush TDs.
If 2019 numbers are any indication, then the Black Knights might hold an advantage when it comes to RB efficiency. Their running backs has produced 4.7 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 4.1 to opponents. The Spartans have recorded 3.2 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.6 to opponents.
The Spartans offense has logged 310.6 yards/contest in the air overall and has 14 passing TDs so far. The Black Knights have recorded 71.4 pass yards per contest and have four total pass scores.
On the defensive side of the ball, San Jose State has allowed 223.7 rush yards and 221.1 pass yards per game. The Army West Point defense has given up 186.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 159.1 yards per game to opposing runners. The Spartans are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.95 to opposing QBs, while the Black Knights have allowed a 5.86 ANY/A.
Love probably has the edge over Hopkins Jr. in this matchup, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 7.40for the year and 7.66 over the past two games. Hopkins Jr.’s ANY/A is 4.58 for the year and 5.05 across his last two outings.
When these two programs faced one another last year, Army West Point knocked off San Jose State by a landslide 52-3.
San Jose State Spartans at Army West Point Black Knights NCAA Tip
SU Winner: Army West Point, ATS Winner: Army West Point, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- The Over/Under for San Jose State’s last game was set at 45. The under cashed in the team’s 27-17 loss to San Diego State.
- San Jose State, as a team, has produced 1.8 yards per carry across its last three contests and 2.1 over its last two.
- Army West Point has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.3 over its past two.
- Army West Point has lost eight fumbles this season while San Jose State has lost four.
- In its last three contests, San Jose State is 1-1-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- San Jose State has lost four of its last five games SU, with an 11-point victory over New Mexico on October 4th accounting for the only win over that span.
- The O/U for Army West Point’s previous outing was 53.5. The under cashed in the 28-21 loss to Georgia State.
- Over its last three matches, Army West Point is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Spartans offense has created nine pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Black Knights have accounted for one such play.
- The San Jose State defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Army West Point has given up two such plays.
- The San Jose State offense has created five rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Army West Point has created nine such runs.
- The Spartans defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Black Knights have given up five such runs.
- The Army West Point defensive unit has recorded 13 sacks on the year while San Jose State has just seven.
