Kevin Pillar and the San Francisco Giants are preparing to take on their cross-country foe Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in a Thursday showdown. The game gets underway 1:05 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Philadelphia will televise this NL matchup.
San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
The Giants have gone 55-53 SU this year and are 56-51 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 13.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having lost 7.7 units ATS. San Francisco is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 56-51 SU and 50-56 ATS. They’ve lost 1.1 units for moneyline bettors and 6.7 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 50-52-4 in 2019. San Francisco has been a decent over bet with a total record of 55-46-6.
Dereck Rodriguez will get the start for the visiting Giants. The right-handed Rodriguez (4-5, 4.99 ERA) has recorded 42 strikeouts in 61.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 1.50 ERA and six strikeouts across six innings).
The Phillies will be sending righty Jake Arrieta (8-8, 4.51 ERA) to the mound. Arrieta has 95 strikeouts and 47 walks to his credit as well as a 1.46 WHIP. Arrieta only made one start against the Giants in 2018 (0-1, 7.50 ERA and four strikeouts across six innings).
San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.74 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.38 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.75, along with a WHIP of 1.36 and a K/9 of 9.20.
The Giants offense has slashed .236/.305/.396 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
San Francisco’s offense has been fueled by Kevin Pillar and Brandon Belt, who’ve collectively launched 25 home runs. Pillar is hitting .246/.275/.414 with 13 home runs, 56 RBIs and 51 runs scored, while Belt (.233/.353/.397) has produced 12 homers, 37 RBIs and 56 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 4.53 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.79 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
The Philadelphia hitters have put up 4.7 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .294/.342/.469 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Phillies’ batters have been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is hitting .283/.332/.404 with seven home runs, 43 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Segura’s line is .287/.328/.449 with 11 homers, 44 RBIs and 59 runs.
The Giants have gained 13.0 units and are 41-34 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 39 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 6.3 units and are 39-40 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 36 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve gone under.
Giants vs. Phillies Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in three of San Francisco’s last seven games.
- Philadelphia has recorded 22.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.4 over its last five.
- The Giants have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
- The Giants have a total OPS of .701 this season and an OPS of .708 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS sits at .742 overall and .735 versus righties.
