San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets Free Pick

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The San Francisco Giants will be squaring off against a cross-country foe in the New York Mets in a Thursday night game. SportsNet New York will broadcast this NL matchup. The opening pitch is scheduled for 12:10 p.m. ET.

San Francisco Giants at New York Mets Odds

San Francisco (+130) is coming into this one as the underdog against New York (-140) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Giants +1.5 runs (-170) and Mets -1.5 runs (+150).

The Mets are 29-32 straight up (SU) and 28-32 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 10.9 units for moneyline bettors and 8.8 units ATS. The Giants are 25-35 SU and have gone 25-34 against the spread. Overall, the club has lost 5.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 18.5 units ATS.

New York games have a 32-23-5 over/under record so far in 2019. Giants games have gone over 30 times, gone under 27 times and pushed on two instances.

The right-handed Shaun Anderson will get the nod for San Francisco. Anderson (1-1, 4.09 ERA) has racked up 13 strikeouts in 22 innings so far. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Mets will send righty Zack Wheeler (5-3, 4.68 ERA) to the mound. Wheeler has 87 punchouts and 24 walks to his name, along with a WHIP of 1.29. Wheeler made two starts against the team in 2018, posting a 0-1 record in 2018, compiling a 0-1 record with a 1.29 ERA and 19 strikeouts.

New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.9 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 4.29 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.19 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

The New York hitters are putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .258/.309/.427 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Left fielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso have paced the Mets’ batters this year. McNeil is slashing .337/.417/.463 with 59 hits, 15 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while Alonso’s line is .265/.343/.612 with 20 homers, 45 RBIs and 36 runs.

In the visiting dugout, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.37 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.16 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.70, along with a WHIP of 1.43.

Giants hitters have slashed .223/.293/.369 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Right fielder Steven Duggar and second baseman Joe Panik continue to lead San Francisco’s offense. Duggar is slashing .244/.286/.355 with three home runs, 26 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Panik is slashing .242/.321/.343 with three homers, 19 RBIs and 22 runs scored.

The Giants have lost 1.8 units and are 17-25 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 7.3 units and are 20-25 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 24 of those games, compared to 17 that went under.

Giants at Mets Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in four of San Francisco’s last seven games.
  • The Giants have a team OPS of .662 this season and an OPS of .677 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS stands at .741 overall and .726 versus righties.
  • New York has recorded 23.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.6 over its last five.
  • The Giants have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.