The San Francisco Giants will be taking on their divisional rival San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. Fox Sports San Diego will showcase the matchup and the game will get underway at 4:10 p.m. ET.
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Odds
San Diego (-115) is the favorite over San Francisco (+105) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs. The odds for betting on the games total sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Gamblers can also bet on the games spread with the runline odds coming in at Giants +1.5 runs (-200) and Padres +-1.5 runs (+170).
The Giants have gone 6-8 SU this year and are 8-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 0.9 units for moneyline bettors over the early part of the year and 3.0 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Padres are 6-10 SU and 7-8 ATS. The team has lost 2.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.9 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.
Padres games have an over/under record of 5-9-1 so far in 2018. The Giants have an over/under record of 6-7.
The Giants have gained 2.0 units and are 5-3 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to three that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 4.0 units and are 4-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in three of those games, as opposed to six that’ve cashed the under.
Tyler Beede will get the nod for San Francisco. The right-handed Beede is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA and three strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Padres will turn to lefty Joey Lucchesi (1-0, 1.72 ERA), who’s got 16 strikeouts and four walks as well as a WHIP of 1.02. Lucchesi did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.
San Diego’s pitching staff has yielded 4.3 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.26, a WHIP of 1.57 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 1.93, a WHIP of 0.99 and a K/9 of 10.3. In 10 games against NL West foes, Padres starters have an ERA of 4.50 and the bullpens ERA is 1.76.
San Diego’s hitters have produced 3.5 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .221/.287/.393 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Third baseman Christian Villanueva and first baseman Eric Hosmer have led the Padres offense this year. Villanueva is slashing .270/.372/.676 with 10 hits, eight RBIs and six runs scored, and Hosmers line is .288/.364/.458 with 17 hits, three RBIs and seven runs.
Compared to his total season slash line of .318/.385/.498, Hosmer appeared to enjoy facing right-handed pitchers at home in 2017, producing .354/.439/.615 across 221 plate appearances.
For the visiting squad, San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.57 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 6.07 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 2.92, along with a K-per-9 of 9.63.
Giants hitters have slashed .246/.306/.368 on their way to 3.2 runs scored per game this year, including 2.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).
San Francisco’s hitters have been led by second baseman Joe Panik and catcher Buster Posey. Panik is slashing .327/.397/.538 with 17 hits, four RBIs and eight runs scored, while Posey (.313/.370/.500) is up to 15 hits, two homers, eight RBIs and five runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .288/.349/.421, Panik performed well against lefties on the road last year, putting up a slash line of .374/.437/.451 across 103 such plate appearances.
San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The Giants have lost three of their last four games SU.
- San Francisco fielders have four errors over the last 10 games, compared to 10 errors for San Diego over its last 10.
- The Giants have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 10 over their last 10.
