The San Diego Padres are set to host their NL West nemesis San Francisco Giants at PETCO Park. Fox Sports San Diego will be airing the action and the game gets going at 10:10 p.m. ET.
San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres Odds
San Diego (+105) is coming into this one as the underdog to San Francisco (-115) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at +130 for the Giants -1.5 runs and -150 for the Padres +1.5.
The Giants have gone 5-6 SU this year and are 7-3 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.0 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 4.5 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Padres are 4-9 SU and 6-6 ATS. They’ve lost 1.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.0 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Padres games have had an over/under record of 5-6-1 so far in 2018. The Giants have an over/under record of 5-5.
The Giants have lost 1.0 units and are 2-1 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in one of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 1.9 units and are 4-4 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in three of those games, compared to four that went under.
The right-handed Chris Stratton (0-1, 4.35 ERA) will get the start for San Francisco. Stratton started 10 games last year and finished the season 4-4 overall with a 3.68 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP.
The Padres are turning to righty Bryan Mitchell (0-1, 4.22 ERA), who started 1 games last year while finishing the season 1-1 overall with a 5.79 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP.
As a unit, San Diego’s pitchers have given up 4.3 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.21, a WHIP of 1.49 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.1. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.41, a WHIP of 0.97 and a K/9 of 10.1. In seven divisional games, Padres starters have an ERA of 4.50 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.57.
San Diego’s hitters are putting up 3.5 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .227/.281/.390 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Padres’ hitters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis. Hosmer is hitting .333/.414/.529 with 17 hits, three RBIs and seven runs scored, while Galvis is batting .318 with 14 hits, five RBIs and three runs.
Hosmer performed well against righties at home last year. In 221 such plate appearances, he slashed .354/.439/.615 (compared to his overall season line of .318/.385/.498).
For the visitors, San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.66 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 6.10 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 2.86, along with a WHIP of 1.19.
Giants hitters have slashed .237/.290/.359 on their way to 3.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Catcher Buster Posey and second baseman Joe Panik have led San Francisco’s offense. Posey is slashing .389/.439/.611 with 14 hits, six RBIs and five runs scored, while Panik is hitting .308/.372/.538 with 12 hits, three homers, three RBIs and six runs scored.
Posey did not do especially well against righty pitching on the road in 2017. Over 210 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .276/.357/.400 (compared to his total season line of .320/.400/.462).
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The Giants have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 12 over their last 10.
- San Diego has recorded 19.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.0 over its last five.
