The San Francisco Giants will head east to Citizens Bank Park to play the Philadelphia Phillies. This NL matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to NBC Sports Philadelphia.
San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
San Francisco (receiving +110) is entering this game as the underdog to Philadelphia (-120) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 10 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -190 for betting the Giants +1.5 runs and +165 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Phillies are 55-50 straight up (SU) and 49-56 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot for gamblers, losing 2.1 units for moneyline bettors and 8.3 units ATS. Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Giants are 54-52 SU and have gone 56-50 against the spread. Overall, the club has gained 14.4 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 5.8 units ATS. San Francisco is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Philadelphia games have had an over/under record of 50-51-4 in 2019. The Giants have been a decent over bet with a total record of 55-45-6.
Tyler Beede will get the nod for the visiting Giants. The right-handed Beede is 3-4 with a 4.85 ERA and 62 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Phillies will turn to lefty Drew Smyly (1-5, 7.69 ERA), who has 60 strikeouts and 36 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.81. Smyly did not accrue any MLB pitching stats last season.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 4.59 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.75 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
Philadelphia’s offense has produced 4.8 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .274/.324/.483 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ batters have been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is slashing .281/.331/.404 with seven home runs, 43 RBIs and 47 runs scored, and Segura’s line sits at .281/.323/.444 with 11 homers, 44 RBIs and 59 runs.
For the visiting squad, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.77 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.40 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.78, along with a WHIP of 1.36 and a K-per-9 of 9.14.
The Giants offense has slashed .237/.305/.395 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Kevin Pillar and Brandon Belt continue to lead San Francisco’s hitters. Pillar is slashing .245/.275/.408 with 12 home runs, 54 RBIs and 50 runs scored, while Belt is hitting .233/.350/.390 with 11 homers, 36 RBIs and 55 runs scored.
The Giants have gained 1.4 units and are 15-16 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 5.3 units and are 38-40 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 36 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve cashed the under.
Giants vs. Phillies Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in three of San Francisco’s last seven contests.
- The Giants have an OPS of .700 this season, including an OPS of .666 against left-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS stands at .745 overall and .768 against southpaws.
- San Francisco has posted 20.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.6 over its last five.
- The Giants have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 13 over their last 10.
