San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick

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The Philadelphia Phillies will play host to the San Francisco Giants at Citizens Bank Park. NBC Sports Philadelphia is in line to showcase this NL matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies Odds

San Francisco (+110) is entering this game as the underdog to Philadelphia (-120) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 10 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total currently stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Giants +1.5 runs (-190) and Phillies -1.5 runs (+165).

The Phillies are 56-50 straight up (SU) and 49-56 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much for gamblers, losing 2.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.3 units ATS. Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Giants are 54-53 SU and have gone 56-50 ATS. In total, the club has gained 14.4 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 5.8 units ATS. San Francisco is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Philadelphia games have had an over/under record of 50-51-4 in 2019. The Giants have been a decent over bet with a total record of 55-45-6.

Jeff Samardzija is getting the nod for San Francisco. The right-handed Samardzija (7-8, 3.95 ERA) has racked up 102 strikeouts in 116.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 11.25 ERA and three strikeouts over four innings).

The Phillies are putting the ball in the hands of righty Vince Velasquez (3-5, 4.46 ERA), who’s got 79 strikeouts and 26 walks, along with a 1.36 WHIP. Velasquez made two starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 1-1 record in 2018, posting a 1-1 record with a 2.92 ERA and 21 strikeouts.

Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.54, a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 4.77 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

Philadelphia’s hitters have produced 4.8 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .313/.362/.533 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura have led the Phillies’ offense this year. Hernandez is slashing .284/.333/.405 with seven home runs, 43 RBIs and 48 runs scored, and Segura is batting .285 with 11 homers, 44 RBIs and 59 runs.

In the visiting dugout, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.79 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.39 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.75, along with a WHIP of 1.37 and a K/9 of 9.21.

The Giants offense has slashed .236/.305/.395 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 3.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Kevin Pillar and Brandon Belt have led San Francisco’s hitters. Pillar is slashing .246/.275/.408 with 12 home runs, 54 RBIs and 50 runs scored, while Belt (.235/.352/.400) is up to 12 homers, 37 RBIs and 56 runs scored.

The Giants have gained 13.0 units and are 41-34 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 39 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 5.3 units and are 38-40 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 36 of those games, compared to 38 that went under the total.

Giants vs. Phillies Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in three of San Francisco’s last seven contests.
  • The Giants have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 14 over their last 10.
  • The Giants have an OPS of .700 this season and an OPS of .709 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS stands at .745 overall and .738 versus righties.
  • San Francisco has recorded 18.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.2 over its last five.