The San Francisco 49ers (+3) are traveling east to battle the New Orleans Saints at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. FOX will televise the action and this vital early afternoon matchup is scheduled to kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Week 14 Betting Preview: San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints
In what may potentially be a NFC playoff preview, New Orleans has been projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 3 points. The 49ers are also receiving +130 moneyline odds while the Saints are -150. It appears that there might be multiple good live betting possibilities while the game is taking place, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 45.5 points.
Each of these teams has posted a good return this season as the 49ers have gained 6.7 units while the Saints are ahead 1.4 units.
The 49ers are 10-2 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Saints are also 10-2 SU.
The Niners came up short to Baltimore 20-17 in a Week 13 matchup where their defense allowed the Ravens to control the clock by rushing for 178 yards on 38 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Offensively, Jimmy Garoppolo completed 15 passes on 21 attempts for only 165 yards and one touchdown. Raheem Mostert (146 rushing yards on 19 attempts, one TD) led the ground attack while Emmanuel Sanders (four receptions, 41 yards) and Kendrick Bourne (three catches, 42 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
New Orleans is coming off of a 26-18 win over Atlanta in Week 13. Drew Brees completed 18-of-30 passes for 184 yards and one touchdown. Alvin Kamara (61 yards on 11 rush attempts) handled the running game while Michael Thomas (six receptions, 48 yards) and Kamara (four catches, 23 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
San Francisco has run the ball on 52.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New Orleans has an overall rush percentage of 39.5 percent. The 49ers have rushed for 148 yards/game and have 16 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Saints are putting up 107.3 rush yards per game and have seven total rushing TDs.
The Niners offensive scheme has logged 242.7 yards per contest through the air overall and has 21 passing scores so far. The Saints have produced 267.4 pass yards per contest and also have 21 total pass TDs.
Defensively, San Francisco seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 116.7 yards and pass for 163.3 yards per game. The New Orleans defense has allowed 256.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 88.6 yards per game to opposing runners. The Niners are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.41 to opposing QBs, while the Saints have given up a 5.53 ANY/A.
Offensively, Garoppolo is up to 2,643 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 233-of-338 attempts with 19 passing scores and 10 interceptions. He’s got a 6.82 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 9.65 over the past two outings.
For the home team, Drew Brees has connected on 147-of-201 passes for 1,480 yards, nine TDs and three INTs. Brees’ ANY/A sits at 7.07 for the season and 7.31 over his last two games.
San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints Free NFL Pick
SU Winner: 49ers, ATS Winner: 49ers, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The San Francisco defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 45 times this year. New Orleans has produced 40 sacks.
- The New Orleans offense has lost one fumble in 2019 while the San Francisco offense has lost eight.
- The 49ers offense has created five pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Saints have put up six such plays.
- The San Francisco defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while New Orleans has given up 10 such plays.
- The San Francisco offense has created 12 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while New Orleans has created nine such runs.
- The 49ers defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Saints have given up five such runs.
- New Orleans has won 10 of its last 11 games SU, with a -17-point defeat to Atlanta on November 10th representing the one loss over that span.
- San Francisco has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last three games and 5.6 over its last two.
- New Orleans has averaged 5.0 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.9 over its last two.
