The San Jose State Spartans (3-23, 0-15 MWC), who are currently on a 15-game losing streak, will try to get back in the win column when they welcome the San Diego State Aztecs (16-10, 8-7 MWC) to San Jose State Event Center. San Diego State opened as a 13-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 140.5 points. Action gets underway at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 24, 2018.
San Diego State Aztecs at San Jose State Spartans Betting Preview
In the Aztecs last game, they were victorious over the Air Force Falcons, 67-56. Matt Mitchell was the games high scorer with 17 points on 6-for-7 shooting. San Diego State played a perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.167 (matching their season average) and a turnover percentage of 14.2 (better than their season average of 15.0). Air Force was 0.019 and 21.8, respectively, for those same stats.
The Spartans are trying to rebound after their 80-67 loss to the No. 20 Nevada Wolf Pack in their last contest. Ryan Welage led San Jose State in scoring with 22 points on 8-for-15 shooting. Nevada’s turnover percentage was their largest advantage over San Jose State. The Wolf Pack had a rate of 10.5 (better than their season average of 13.0), while the Spartans posted a mark of 17.4.
The inefficient offense of San Jose State (338th in the nation with an offensive efficiency of 95.0) will face off against the stingy defense of San Diego State (43rd in the nation with a defensive efficiency of 97.8). The Aztecs figure to have the edge on that end of the court.
Of San Diego State’s 24 games with betting action, 13 have finished over the O/U total, while 15 of San Jose State’s 25 games have finished under the projected point total. The Aztecs come into this game with a significant advantage in terms of straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 16-10 SU and 15-9 ATS, while the Spartans are 3-23 SU and 12-13 ATS.
These teams have already met once this season. The two teams combined for 134 points in that game, which was just under the projected point total of 135. The Aztecs won 85-49, covering as 22-point favorites. San Diego State had a much better turnover percentage (11.4 vs. 22.5). San Jose State, on the other hand, had a much better free throw rate (0.308 vs. 0.106). Jalen McDaniels had a standout performance in the victory, putting up 13 points and seven rebounds.
San Diego State Aztecs vs. San Jose State Spartans Free Prediction
Free Prediction: SU Winner – San Diego State, ATS Winner – San Jose State, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Aztecs rank 47th in rebounds per game (38.3) while the Spartans rank 114th (36.1).
- San Diego State is 6-7 ATS on the road with 9 overs and 4 unders.
- San Jose State is 6-5 ATS at home with 7 unders and 4 overs.
- San Diego State averages 15.0 assists per game, which ranks 75th in the NCAA. San Jose State ranks 252nd in assists allowed per game (16.1).
- The Aztecs rank 147th in three pointers attempted per game (22.1) while the Spartans rank 296th (15.9).
- San Diego State ranks 110th in steals per game (6.5) while San Jose State ranks 226th (4.8).
Betting Trends:
- San Jose State is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in their last five games.
- Over their last five games, San Diego State is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
- The Spartans average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 12.2, up from 9.3 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Aztecs have scored an average of 73.4 points per game (4.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 70.2 points per game (1.9 above their season average).
