The 17th-ranked Nevada Wolf Pack (27-3, 14-3 MWC) welcome the San Diego State Aztecs (19-11, 11-6 MWC) to Lawlor Events Center as the regular season wraps up. The game starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 9, 2019, and will air on CBS Sports Network.
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Nevada Wolf Pack ATS Odds
In their last contest, the Wolf Pack defeated the Air Force Falcons, 90-79, while the Aztecs lost a close one to the Fresno State Bulldogs, 76-74.
Nevada played a perfect game. They had a phenomenally low turnover percentage of 7.8 (better than their season average of 12.8) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.5 (above their season average of 26.4). Air Force was 13.6 and 15.6, respectively, for those same stats. San Diego State, meanwhile, held Fresno State to an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.5 (below their season average of 28.0). Jazz Johnson had a good game for Nevada, contributing 27 points. Jalen McDaniels, meanwhile played a key role for San Diego State with 16 points and seven rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Devin Watson led the Aztecs to a 65-57 win. He produced 15 points, eight assists and five rebounds. San Diego State won the rebounding battle. The Aztecs had 12 offensive rebounds and 46 total rebounds, while the Wolf Pack had six and 37, respectively.
From an effective field goal percentage perspective, this will be a balanced game. The sharp-shooting Nevada offense ranks 48th in the nation in that metric at 0.541, while the elite San Diego State defense is ranked 60th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.480).
San Diego State vs. Nevada Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Nevada, ATS Winner – San Diego State, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Nevada ranks 58th in three pointers attempted per game (25.4) while San Diego State ranks 212th in three pointers allowed per game (24.1).
- The Aztecs rank 105th in rebounds per game (36.4) while the Wolf Pack rank 186th in rebounds allowed per game (35.8).
- Nevada allows the 31st-fewest blocks per game (2.6) while San Diego State ranks 34th (2.6).
- The Wolf Pack rank fifth in steals allowed per game (4.6) while the Aztecs rank 92nd (6.1).
- Nevada averages 15.3 assists per game, which ranks 48th in the nation. San Diego State ranks 130th in assists allowed per game (13.0).
Bettings Trends:
- During their last five games, the Wolf Pack have scored an average of 77.2 points per game (4.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 73.2 points per game (6.1 above their season average).
- The Aztecs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.8, down from 5.5 for the season.
