The San Diego State Aztecs (-7) are set to face off against their in-conference counterpart Colorado State Rams at Canvas Stadium. This showdown will kick off pretty late for fans on the East Coast (10:00 p.m. ET) and ESPN2 has the TV rights.
Betting Preview: Colorado State Rams vs. San Diego State Aztecs
In this Saturday Mountain West game, San Diego State is tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 7 points. In order to take the favorite, moneyline bettors would currently have to put up $300 to net $100 back on the Aztecs (-300). The Rams are getting +220 moneyline odds. If one program can create a bunch of points early it’ll create a solid live betting opportunity. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 51.5 points.
The opening line was initially set at 6 and the O/U was originally 52, so it seems that the sharp action has been siding with the Aztecs.
The profitable Aztecs have recorded 3.5 units so far and are 2-2 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U mark of 0-4.
The Rams are down 2.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 3-2.
The Aztecs have gone 3-1 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against conference opponents. The Rams are 1-4 SU overall and are also 0-1 SU in conference play.
The Aztecs dropped one to Utah State 23-17 in a matchup where Ryan Agnew completed only 20-of-37 passes for 281 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Chance Bell (63 yards on 18 rushes) and Jordan Byrd (20 yards on 10 carries) led the running attack while Kobe Smith (seven receptions, 102 yards, one TD) and Isaiah Richardson (three catches, 65 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Colorado State just lost a 34-24 game to Utah State. Patrick O’Brien completed 14-of-30 passes for 217 yards. Marvin Kinsey Jr. (70 yards on 22 rush attempts, one TD) handled the running attack while Dante Wright (six receptions, 60 yards) and Nate Craig-Myers (three catches, 97 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
San Diego State’s run the ball on 59.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Colorado State has an overall rush percentage of 47.2 percent. The Aztecs have run for 145.5 yards/game and have four scores on the ground this year. The Rams are putting up 181.6 rushing yards per game and have nine total rush TDs.
The Aztecs offensive scheme has averaged 199.5 yards through the air overall and has four passing TDs so far. The Rams have produced 319.4 pass yards per game and have 10 total pass scores.
San Diego State has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 52.3 yards and throw for 227.5 yards per game. The Colorado State defense has given up 200.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 239.6 yards per game on the ground. The Aztecs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.56 to opposing QBs, while the Rams have given up a 6.93 ANY/A.
O’Brien probably has the edge over Agnew in this one. The Rams man under center has an adjusted net yards per pass attempt 7.77 for the year and 6.94 over his past two games while Agnew’s ANY/A is 5.86 (and 4.61 over the past two outings).
These two conference foes did not get a chance to face each other a year ago.
San Diego State Aztecs at Colorado State Rams NCAA Tip
SU Winner: San Diego State, ATS Winner: San Diego State, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- The San Diego State D has 10 sacks on the year while Colorado State has nine.
- Colorado State has lost nine fumbles this season while San Diego State has lost one.
- The Aztecs offense has tallied one pass play of 40 yards or more, while the Rams have accounted for six such plays.
- The San Diego State defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Colorado State has given up three such plays.
- The San Diego State offense has created two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Colorado State has created 11 such runs.
- The Aztecs defense has allowed one rushing play of 20+ yards, while the Rams have given up 14 such runs.
- The Over/Under for Colorado State’s last match was set at 68.5. The under cashed in the 34-24 defeat to Utah State.
- Over its last three matches, Colorado State is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- Over its last three matches, San Diego State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- The O/U for San Diego State’s previous game was set at 53. The under cashed in the team’s 23-17 defeat to Utah State.
- San Diego State, as a team, has produced 3.2 yards per carry over its past three outings and 4.0 over its last two.
- Colorado State has averaged 5.4 yards per carry over its last three games and 5.2 over its past two.
