San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

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The struggling Seattle Mariners will try to stave off their sixth consecutive loss as they play host to the San Diego Padres at T-Mobile Park. This interleague matchup gets underway at 6:40 p.m. ET and you can watch the game on either RTNW or FSSD.

San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners Odds

Seattle (receiving +140 odds) is the home-team underdog against San Diego and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this day game at 9.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -105 for the Padres -1.5 runs and -115 for the Mariners +1.5.

The Mariners are 47-68 straight up (SU) and 54-61 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 15.1 units for moneyline bettors and 17.4 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, have gone 52-60 SU this year and are 51-61 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 11.7 units for moneyline bettors and 15.3 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Mariners games have an over/under record of 68-38-9 in 2019. San Diego has an over/under record of 53-52-7.

Joey Lucchesi will get the nod for the Padres. The southpaw Lucchesi is 7-6 with a 4.23 ERA and 111 strikeouts. He has yet to face Seattle this year, but he did make two starts against the Mariners in 2018, compiling a 2-0 record against them with a 3.09 ERA and 12 strikeouts.

The Mariners are handing the ball to lefty Yusei Kikuchi (4-8, 5.49 ERA), who has 84 strikeouts and 38 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.48. Kikuchi did not pitch in the majors last season.

Seattle’s pitching staff has given up 5.9 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 5.42, a WHIP of 1.42 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.9. The bullpen has a 5.11 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.

The Seattle hitters have put up 4.9 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .153/.265/.274 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.

Outfielder Domingo Santana and catcher Omar Narvaez have led the charge for the Mariners’ batters this year. Santana is slashing .266/.338/.468 with 21 home runs, 68 RBIs and 62 runs scored, and Narvaez is batting .290 with 16 homers, 41 RBIs and 51 runs scored.

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.50 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.27 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.67, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K-per-9 of 9.99.

The Padres offense has slashed .245/.313/.430 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

San Diego’s offensive production has been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado, who’ve collectively blasted 43 home runs. Hosmer is hitting .283/.332/.451 with 17 home runs, 77 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Machado (.274/.343/.499) has produced 26 homers, 69 RBIs and 65 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 8.4 units and are 11-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to 13 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have lost 8.8 units and are 13-22 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 13 that went under the total.

Padres at Mariners MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • San Diego has logged 13 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Seattle has eight XBH over its last five.
  • The Padres have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit 11 over their last 10.
  • The Padres have a total OPS of .743 this season, including an OPS of .776 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Mariners’ OPS stands at .759 overall and .761 against southpaws.
  • Seattle has posted 19.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 12.4 over its last five.