Eric Hosmer and the San Diego Padres will be taking on their in-state adversary San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park in a Friday showdown. Fox Sports San Diego will televise the matchup and the game gets underway at 10:15 p.m. ET.
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants Odds
San Francisco (-130) is favored over San Diego (+120) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). There’s a runline of Padres +1.5 (-175) and Giants -1.5 (+155) for this matchup.
The Giants are 65-68 straight up (SU) and 69-63 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 11.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 10.7 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Padres are 62-71 SU and have gone 62-70 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 13.7 units for moneyline bettors and 14.0 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Giants games have had an over/under record of 64-61-7 in 2019. San Diego has an over/under record of 64-61-7.
Right-hander Dinelson Lamet is the probable starter for San Diego. Lamet is 2-2 with a 4.30 ERA and 60 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Giants this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Giants will turn to lefty Madison Bumgarner (8-8, 3.71 ERA), who’s got 168 strikeouts and 34 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.10. Bumgarner is 1-1 with 18 strikeouts and a 4.95 ERA across three starts against San Diego this year.
San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.58 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.38 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.52, along with a WHIP of 1.27.
The Padres offense has slashed .242/.311/.423 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
San Diego’s offense has been sparked by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado, who have combined to belt 47 home runs. Hosmer is slashing .284/.330/.453 with 20 home runs, 88 RBIs and 65 runs scored, while Machado (.262/.333/.466) is up to 27 homers, 74 RBIs and 70 runs scored.
In the other dugout, San Francisco’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 4.80 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.96 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.8 K/9. In 64 divisional games, Giants starters have an ERA of 4.41 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.95.
San Francisco’s offense has put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .243/.302/.356 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Kevin Pillar and Brandon Belt have led the Giants’ offense this year. Pillar is slashing .266/.294/.462 with 19 home runs, 72 RBIs, 70 runs and 11 stolen bases, and Belt’s line sits at .229/.341/.392 with 15 homers, 51 RBIs and 66 runs scored.
The Padres have lost 7.8 units and are 15-14 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to 17 that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 11.4 units and are 52-41 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 46 of those games, compared to 41 that went under the total.
Padres vs. Giants MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- San Diego has tallied 15 extra-base hits over its last five contests. San Francisco has 12 XBH over its last five.
- The San Diego defense has coughed up 12 errors over the last 10 games, compared to only five errors for San Francisco over its last 10.
- The Padres have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit 11 over their last 10.
- The Padres have a team OPS of .734 this season, including an OPS of .781 against left-handed pitchers. The Giants’ OPS stands at .712 overall and .706 against southpaws.
