Eric Hosmer and the San Diego Padres will head east to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Sun will be airing this NL matchup.
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
San Diego (-110) is favored over Philadelphia (+100) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. This game currently has a runline of Padres -1.5 (+135) and Phillies +1.5 (-155).
The Padres have gone 56-64 SU this year and are 55-65 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 12.7 units for moneyline bettors and 14.7 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 63-58 SU and 55-65 ATS. They’ve lost 5.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.1 units ATS. Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Phillies games have had an over/under record of 57-59-4 in 2019. Padres games have gone over 59 times, gone under 54 times and pushed on seven instances.
The right-handed Chris Paddack is projected to start for San Diego. Paddack (7-5, 3.26 ERA) has recorded 115 strikeouts in 110.1 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 10.38 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
The Phillies are putting the ball in the hands of righty Vince Velasquez (4-7, 4.30 ERA), who has 91 strikeouts and 32 walks as well as a 1.31 WHIP. Velasquez is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against San Diego this year.
San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.45 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.30 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.77, along with a K/9 of 9.91.
Padres hitters have slashed .246/.315/.432 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
San Diego’s hitters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado, who collectively have launched 44 home runs. Hosmer is slashing .287/.334/.454 with 18 home runs, 81 RBIs and 61 runs scored. Machado is hitting .263 with 26 homers, 70 RBIs and 67 runs scored.
For the home team, Philadelphia’s pitchers have yielded 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.55 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.68 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .273/.362/.461 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura have led the Phillies’ hitters this year. Hernandez is slashing .283/.329/.400 with eight home runs, 52 RBIs and 53 runs scored, and Segura’s line sits at .280/.328/.426 with 11 homers, 48 RBIs and 62 runs.
The Padres have lost 3.8 units and are 42-52 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 49 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 1.6 units and are 42-46 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 41 of those games, compared to 43 that went under the total.
Padres vs. Phillies Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- San Diego has tallied 19 extra-base hits over its last five games. Philadelphia has 18 XBH over its last five.
- San Diego has recorded 24.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.6 over its last five.
- The Padres have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 11 over their last 10.
- The Padres have a total OPS of .747 this season and an OPS of .726 against right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS sits at .745 overall and .732 versus righties.
