The streaking Philadelphia Phillies are seeking their fifth straight victory when they play host to the San Diego Padres at Citizens Bank Park. NBC Sports Philadelphia will broadcast this NL showdown. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.
San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (-110) is hosting this one as the favorite over San Diego (+100) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 10 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total now sit at -125 for the under and +105 for the over. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Padres +1.5 runs (-210) and Phillies -1.5 runs (+175).
The Padres are 56-65 SU and have gone 55-65 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 12.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 14.7 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 64-58 SU and 56-65 ATS. They’ve lost 3.6 units for moneyline bettors and 10.1 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 58-59-4 in 2019. The Padres have an over/under record of 59-54-7.
The right-handed Dinelson Lamet is the probable starter for the visiting Padres. Lamet is 1-2 with a 3.86 ERA and 49 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Phillies will put the ball in the right hand of Zach Eflin (7-11, 4.49 ERA, 1.37 WHIP), who has 99 strikeouts and 34 walks. Eflin only made one start against the Padres in 2018 (0-1, 3.00 ERA and eight strikeouts across six innings).
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.56, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 4.66 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
Philadelphia’s hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 7.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .314/.401/.541 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura have led the Phillies’ offense this year. Hernandez is slashing .284/.332/.400 with eight home runs, 53 RBIs and 54 runs scored, and Segura is hitting .282 with 11 homers, 48 RBIs and 64 runs scored.
In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.48 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.33 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.80, along with a K/9 of 9.90.
Padres hitters have slashed .246/.314/.432 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 5.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado have paced San Diego’s hitters. Hosmer is hitting .287/.333/.454 with 18 home runs, 82 RBIs and 62 runs scored, while Machado is slashing .263/.333/.473 with 26 homers, 70 RBIs and 67 runs scored.
The Padres have lost 3.8 units and are 42-52 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 49 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 2.9 units and are 43-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 42 of those games, compared to 43 that’ve gone under.
Padres vs. Phillies Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in four of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
- The Padres have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 13 over their last 10.
- The Padres have a team OPS of .746 this season and an OPS of .724 against right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS stands at .748 overall and .736 versus righties.
- San Diego has posted 23.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 20.2 over its last five.
