The San Diego Padres are set to face the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. ATTSN Southwest will be airing this interleague matchup and the action gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET.
San Diego Padres vs. Houston Astros Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Houston (-125) as the favorite over San Diego (+105). Gamblers can bet on the games total with odds sitting at -120 for over 8.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the current runline odds sitting at +230 for the Padres +1.5 runs and -260 for the Astros -1.5.
The Padres have gone 2-7 SU this year and are 3-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.6 units for moneyline gamblers in the seasons early going and 4.3 units ATS. The Astros are 7-2 SU and 5-3 ATS. The teams gained 1.5 units for moneyline bettors and 1.5 units ATS.
Astros games have an over/under record of 3-5 so far in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 4-3-1.
The Padres have lost 1.6 units and are 2-3 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in two of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Astros have lost 1.5 units and are 2-3 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in one of those games, compared to four that went under the total.
Tyson Ross (1-0, 4.50 ERA) will get the nod for San Diego. The right-handed Ross started 10 games last year while finishing the season 3-3 overall with a 7.71 ERA and a 1.84 WHIP.
The Stros are rolling with righty Charlie Morton (1-0, 0.00 ERA) as their starter. Morton recorded 163 strikeouts over 146 innings last year (25 starts), while finishing the season 14-7 overall with a 3.62 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP.
As a unit, Houston’s pitching staff has allowed 2.7 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 2.04 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 11.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 2.57 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.
The Houston hitters have produced 4.8 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .242/.343/.363 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Carlos Correa and second baseman Jose Altuve have led the Astros’ offense this year. Correa is slashing .346/.387/.692 with nine hits, nine RBIs and seven runs scored, while Altuve’s line is .412/.462/.471 with 14 hits, three RBIs and seven runs scored.
Altuve did not do particularly well against righties at home last year, slashing .296/.358/.412 across 260 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .345/.409/.547).
In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.37 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 6.08 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 2.17, along with a WHIP of 1.58 and a K-per-9 of 9.64.
The Padres offense has slashed .230/.300/.385 on its way to 3.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).
Third baseman Christian Villanueva and first baseman Eric Hosmer have led San Diego’s hitters. Villanueva is hitting .286/.348/.810 with six hits, six RBIs and four runs scored, while Hosmer (.314/.400/.486) is up to 11 hits, two RBIs and three runs scored.
San Diego Padres at Houston Astros MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The Padres and Astros did not face each other in 2017.
- The Astros have won six of their last seven games SU
