The San Diego Padres are heading east to play the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Ohio will televise this NL matchup and the first pitch will be at 7:10 p.m. ET.
San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Cincinnati (-155) as the favorite over San Diego (+145). If you think the game’s total will go under 9 runs, bookmakers are currently offering -115 odds. Playing the over will return -105 odds. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Padres +1.5 runs (-150) and Reds -1.5 runs (+130).
The Reds are 68-54 against the spread (ATS), but just 58-65 straight up (SU). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot for gamblers, losing 3.3 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 5.3 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Padres are 58-65 SU and have gone 56-66 against the spread. In total, the team’s lost 12.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 15.8 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven.
Cincinnati games have a 48-69-5 over/under record in 2019. The Padres have an over/under record of 60-55-7.
The left-handed Eric Lauer will get the nod for San Diego. Lauer is 6-8 with a 4.55 ERA and 93 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Cincinnati this year.
The Reds are turning to righty Trevor Bauer (10-9, 4.12 ERA), who’s got 204 strikeouts and 70 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.25. Bauer hasn’t faced the Padres yet this year and did not register a start against them in 2018.
Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 4.4 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.45 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.
The Cincinnati offense is putting up 4.6 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .271/.333/.424 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Reds’ batters have been led by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Suarez is slashing .258/.340/.533 with 34 home runs, 77 RBIs and 67 runs scored, and Iglesias has produced a line of .295/.323/.420 with eight homers, 47 RBIs and 51 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.46 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.31 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.74, along with a K/9 of 9.90.
Padres hitters have slashed .247/.315/.432 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado continue to lead San Diego’s hitters. Hosmer is slashing .290/.335/.456 with 18 home runs, 82 RBIs and 63 runs scored, while Machado (.264/.333/.472) is up to 26 homers, 70 RBIs and 67 runs scored.
The Padres have lost 3.7 units and are 43-53 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 50 of those games, as opposed to 40 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 2.2 units and are 17-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 11 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve cashed the under.
Padres vs. Reds Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- San Diego has recorded 13 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Cincinnati has 12 XBH over its last five.
- The Padres have a team OPS of .746 this season and an OPS of .725 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS sits at .752 overall and .738 versus righties.
- San Diego has recorded 23.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 22.8 over its last five.
- The Padres have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 20 over their last 10.
