The San Diego Padres will head east to face the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. Fox Sports Southeast will showcase this NL matchup and the action gets going at 7:35 p.m. ET.
San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves Odds
Vegas has listed San Diego (+120) as the underdog to Atlanta (-130). The total is sitting at 8.5 runs and gamblers can wager on the over or the under for -110. Gamblers can also wager on the games runline with the most recent odds standing at -175 for the Padres +1.5 runs and +155 for the Braves -1.5 runs.
The Braves are 39-28 straight up (SU) and 36-29 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 15.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.1 units (ATS). Atlanta has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven. The Padres are 33-37 SU and have gone 35-34 ATS. Overall, the teams gained 2.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have lost 7.2 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Neither side has been an obvious over/under bet this year. Braves games have an over/under record of 31-31-3 so far in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 33-34-2.
The right-handed Tyson Ross is projected to start for the visiting Padres. Ross is 5-3 with a 3.43 ERA and 78 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Braves are sending righty Anibal Sanchez (2-0, 2.37 ERA) to the mound. Sanchez has 26 strikeouts and 11 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.05. Sanchez only made one start against the Padres in 2017 (0-0, 1.50 ERA and four strikeouts across six innings).
San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.90 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.99 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 3.18, along with a WHIP of 1.50 and a K/9 of 9.33.
The Padres offense has slashed .233/.300/.373 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game this season, including 3.9 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the teams last five contests (4-1 SU).
First baseman Eric Hosmer and left fielder Jose Pirela have led San Diego’s hitters. Hosmer is slashing .290/.370/.480 with nine home runs, 31 RBIs and 34 runs scored, while Pirela has a .274 average with zero homers, 19 RBIs and 37 runs scored.
For the home team, Atlanta’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. The teams starters have a 3.41 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.84 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
The Atlanta hitters have put up 5.0 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .266/.291/.456 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Braves hitters have been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis. Freeman is hitting .344/.435/.590 with 14 home runs, 48 RBIs, 44 runs and six stolen bases, while the line for Markakis stands at .328/.388/.493 with eight homers, 44 RBIs and 41 runs.
The Padres have gained 3.8 units and are 27-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 20 of those games, as opposed to 26 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 10.9 units and are 27-17 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under.
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- San Diego has logged 12 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Atlanta has 19 XBH over its last five.
- The Padres have won four of their last five games SU.
- Atlanta has recorded 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 22.0 over its last five.
- The Padres have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 13 over their last 10.
