The San Antonio Spurs (22-31) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (32-21) square off at Chesapeake Energy Arena. The Spurs are 6.5-point underdogs and look to snap their five-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 221.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southwest at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 11, 2020.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Odds
Both teams fell in their last contest. The Spurs (2-point favorites) were defeated by the Denver Nuggets, 127-120, while the Thunder (1.5-point underdogs) fell to the Boston Celtics, 112-111. Both games went over their projected point totals. The San Antonio game went 25 points over the projected point total of 222, while the Oklahoma City game went 4 points over the projected point total of 219.
San Antonio did an excellent job of getting and making free throws (22-25; 88.0 percent) while Oklahoma City did an excellent job of getting and making free throws (22-29; 75.9 percent). Oklahoma City was lifted by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who finished with 24 points and six rebounds. LaMarcus Aldridge, meanwhile played well for San Antonio, recording 33 points, six rebounds and five assists.
The Thunder had the upper hand in the most recent game, a 109-103 victory, to even the season series at one. Gilgeous-Alexander had a standout performance in the victory, putting up 25 points, seven rebounds and five assists. The Thunder’s turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Spurs. Oklahoma City had a rate of 3.9, while San Antonio posted a mark of 7.6. The two teams combined for 212 points, which was just under the projected point total of 217, and Oklahoma City covered as a 3-point underdog.
Vegas has a tendency to place the total low when the Spurs are playing, as 59.6 percent of their games have gone over the total. San Antonio holds records of 22-31 straight up (SU) and 21-29-2 against the spread (ATS).
In opposition of San Antonio, a little over half of Thunder games have finished under the projected point total. Additionally, Oklahoma City is 32-21 SU and 34-18-1 ATS.
Second-chance opportunities could be few and far between for Oklahoma City in this showdown. The Thunder currently rank 30th in offensive rebounding percentage (19.7 percent), while San Antonio ranks fifth in defensive rebounding percentage (78.9 percent). Ball security should be an advantage for the Spurs. They rank 1st at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 11.8 percent). Conversely, the Thunder force the ninth-fewest turnovers in the NBA (opponents’ turnover percentage of 13.2 percent).
San Antonio Spurs vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Free Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Spurs rank 28th in second chance points per game (11.2) while the Thunder rank 29th (10.9).
- Oklahoma City ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (22.8) while San Antonio ranks 27th (25.8).
- The Thunder rank 21st in points off turnovers per game (16.3) while the Spurs rank 27th (14.7).
- Oklahoma City ranks fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.1) while San Antonio ranks sixth (4.3).
- San Antonio allows the second-fewest steals per game (6.8) while Oklahoma City ranks third (6.8).
- The Thunder rank first in fast break points allowed per game (10.6) while the Spurs rank 19th (13.6).
- Neither of these teams shoot many threes. The Thunder are 27th in the NBA with 29.7 three pointers per game while the Spurs are 29th with 28.4 threes per game.
- Oklahoma City ranks 23rd in points in the paint per game (46.3) while San Antonio ranks 29th (43.6).
- San Antonio is 2-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Oklahoma City is 7-3.
- In games where they reach 100 points, the Spurs are 22-26 and the Thunder are 31-13.
- San Antonio is 12-12-2 ATS on the road, while Oklahoma City is 14-13-1 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 17 of the Spurs’ 26 road games, while 14 of the Thunder’s 28 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Thunder are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Spurs are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Oklahoma City has 3 unders and 2 overs, while San Antonio has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.2, up from 2.7 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 109.2 points per game (4.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 122.2 points per game (7.5 above their season average).
