The Portland Trail Blazers (23-28) will be 3-point favorites at home in Moda Center at the Rose Quarter when they meet the San Antonio Spurs (22-28). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 232 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southwest at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 6, 2020.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Portland Trail Blazers ATS Odds
Both teams failed to cover as underdogs in their last contest. The Trail Blazers (4.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Denver Nuggets, 127-99, while the Spurs (9.5-point underdogs) fell to the Los Angeles Lakers, 129-102. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Portland game finished 0.5 points over the projected point total of 225.5, while the San Antonio game finished 10 points over the projected point total of 221.
San Antonio had a turnover percentage of 4.9 (better than their season average of 11.0) while Portland had a better turnover percentage (8.2 vs. 11.4). Portland’s Damian Lillard had a good game, finishing with 21 points and nine assists. Meanwhile, DeMar DeRozan was a key piece for San Antonio with 28 points, nine rebounds and seven assists.
The Trail Blazers had the upper hand in the most recent game, a 121-116 win, to even the season series at one. In the loss, LaMarcus Aldridge had a double-double with 30 points and 13 rebounds. Portland had a better offensive rebounding percentage (20.0 vs. 15.2). San Antonio, meanwhile, did an excellent job of getting and making free throws (29-34; 85.3 percent). The two teams combined to put up 237 points, which was over the projected point total of 225.5, and Portland covered as a 2-point underdog.
Vegas is known to place the total low when the Spurs are playing, as 58.0 percent of their games have gone over the O/U total. San Antonio heads into the contest with records of 22-28 straight up (SU) and 21-27-2 against the spread (ATS).
Games involving the Trail Blazers have finished over the O/U total 52.9 percent of the time. Additionally, Portland is 23-28 SU and 20-29-2 ATS.
The Spurs’ DeRozan has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 28 points,5.6 rebounds,4.6 assists per game. Meanwhile, Lillard has averaged 46 points,10.8 assists,6.6 rebounds,1.2 steals during that same time frame for the Trail Blazers.
Portland should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Portland ranks fourth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.1 percent), while San Antonio forces the third-fewest turnovers (11.9 percent).
San Antonio Spurs at Portland Trail Blazers Betting Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Spurs are 27th in the league with 14.9 points off turnovers per game while the Trail Blazers are last with 13.5 points off turnovers per game.
- San Antonio ranks 13th in rebounds per game (45.4) while Portland ranks last in rebounds allowed per game (47.9).
- The Spurs rank 18th in second chance points allowed per game (13.4) while the Trail Blazers rank last (15.8).
- San Antonio ranks eighth in blocks per game (5.6) while Portland ranks 19th in blocks allowed per game (5.3).
- Neither of these teams are great at stealing the ball. San Antonio is 25th in the league with 6.8 steals per game while Portland is last with 5.8 steals per game.
- The Spurs rank 12th in assists per game (24.5) while the Trail Blazers rank 29th (20.0).
- The Spurs average 14.0 fast break points per game, which ranks 11th in the league. The Trail Blazers rank 21st in fast break points allowed per game (14.1).
- Portland is 28th in the NBA with 44.2 points in the paint per game while San Antonio is 29th with 43.6 points in the paint per game.
- Portland ranks 14th in three pointers attempted per game (33.9) while San Antonio ranks 29th (28.4).
- San Antonio is 2-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Portland is 4-0.
- In games where they score more than 100 points, the Spurs are 22-23 and the Trail Blazers are 23-21.
- Portland is 9-14-1 ATS at home, while San Antonio is 12-10-2 ATS on the road.
- The Spurs have 15 overs, 8 unders and 1 push in 24 road games.
- Of the Trail Blazers’ 24 home games, they have 15 overs and 9 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, San Antonio and Portland are both 4-1 ATS.
- The Spurs have 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games, while the Trail Blazers have 4 overs and 1 under
- During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 111.4 points per game (1.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.4 points per game (2.7 below their season average).
- The Trail Blazers have outscored opponents by an average of 4.0 points in their last five games. On the season, Portland has lost by an average of 1.7 points.
