San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies Betting Prediction 12/23/19

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

The San Antonio Spurs (11-17), 1-point favorites, will be at FedExForum to go head-to-head with the Memphis Grizzlies (11-19) in a Southwest Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 226.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, December 23, 2019.

San Antonio Spurs vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Odds

In the Grizzlies’ previous game, they topped the Sacramento Kings, 119-115, as 2-point underdogs. The Spurs, meanwhile, were dismantled by the Los Angeles Clippers, 134-109, and failed to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Memphis game finished 12.5 points over the projected point total of 221.5, while the San Antonio game finished 17 points over the projected point total of 226.

The Grizzlies knocked down 24 of their 29 free throws (82.8 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.572 (above their season average of 0.521). San Antonio, on the other hand, did a great job of making free throws (15-19; 78.9 percent). Memphis was led by Jae Crowder, who contributed 17 points, 10 rebounds and five assists. DeMar DeRozan, meanwhile had a solid performance for San Antonio, finishing with 24 points.

In their first matchup this year, Jonas Valanciunas led the Grizzlies to a 113-109 victory. He recorded a double-double with 18 points and 12 rebounds. Memphis covered as an 11-point underdog and the two teams combined for 222 points, which was just under the projected point total of 223.5. The Grizzlies’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Spurs. Memphis had a rate of 20.5, while San Antonio posted a mark of 15.6.

Vegas is known to place the total low when the Spurs are involved, as 57.1 percent of their games have finished over the projected point total. San Antonio heads into the contest with records of 11-17 straight up (SU) and 7-19-2 against the spread (ATS).

It’s tough to find a trend for Grizzlies games in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Moreover, Memphis is 11-19 SU and 14-16 ATS.

It could be a tough game for Memphis on the offensive glass. The Grizzlies currently rank 20th in offensive rebounding percentage (21.9 percent), while San Antonio ranks fourth in defensive rebounding percentage (78.9 percent).

San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies Odds Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Grizzlies rank 17th in second chance points per game (13.0) while the Spurs rank 27th (11.8).
  • San Antonio ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.8) while Memphis ranks 28th (20.2).
  • The Grizzlies rank third in assists per game (26.9) while the Spurs rank 23rd in assists allowed per game (25.4).
  • Memphis ranks fourth in fast-break points per game (15.9) while San Antonio ranks 22nd in fast-break points allowed per game (13.9).
  • Memphis ranks 20th in three pointers attempted per game (32.3) while San Antonio ranks last (26.5).
  • The Grizzlies rank first in points in the paint per game (53.5) while the Spurs rank 24th (44.5).
  • The Grizzlies rank 10th in steals per game (8.1) while the Spurs rank 27th (6.7).
  • Memphis ranks 16th in rebounds per game (45.1) while San Antonio ranks 24th in rebounds allowed per game (46.5).
  • San Antonio ranks seventh in blocks per game (5.9) while Memphis ranks 27th in blocks allowed per game (5.9).
  • San Antonio is 1-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points.
  • The Spurs and Grizzlies are both 11-14 when they reach 100 points.
  • Memphis is 8-9 ATS at home, while San Antonio is 3-7-2 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 7 of the Spurs’ 12 road games, while 10 of the Grizzlies’ 17 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, San Antonio and Memphis have both had 4 overs and 1 under.
  • The Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Spurs are 2-2-1.
  • The Grizzlies have outscored opponents by an average of 3.4 points in their last five games. For the season, Memphis has lost by an average of 5.4 points.
  • During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 112.8 points per game (0.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 116.8 points per game (1.1 above their season average).