Saint Joseph’s Hawks vs. Davidson Wildcats ATS Prediction 03/15/19

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The Saint Joseph’s Hawks (14-18, 7-12 A10) battle against the Davidson Wildcats (23-8, 14-4 A10) in the Atlantic 10 Conference Tourney at Barclays Center. Action begins at 6 p.m. ET on Friday, March 15, 2019, and can be seen on NBC Sports Network.

Saint Joseph’s Hawks vs. Davidson Wildcats ATS Odds

Both teams defeated their last opponent. The Wildcats defeated the Richmond Spiders 73-69, while the Hawks beat the Duquesne Dukes 92-86.

Saint Joseph’s dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had an absurd free throw rate of 0.377 (above their season average of 0.234) and a turnover percentage of 7.6 (better than their season average of 12.2). For those same stats, Duquesne had marks of 0.227 and 11.7, respectively. Davidson, meanwhile, played a nearly perfect game. They had a phenomenal free throw rate of 0.347 (above their season average of 0.207) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.0 (below their season average of 23.3). Richmond was 0.145 and 10.0, respectively, for those same stats. Davidson’s Jon Axel Gudmundsson had a solid performance, putting up 22 points and nine rebounds. Saint Joseph’s received a boost from Charlie Brown, who finished with 28 points and eight rebounds.

When considering effective field goal percentage, Davidson figures to have a considerable advantage. The elite Wildcats offense ranks 52nd in the country in that metric at 0.541, while the porous Saint Joseph’s defense is ranked 262nd in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.519). Ball protection should be an advantage for the Hawks. They rank 1st at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.5 percent), while the Wildcats force the 63rd-fewest turnovers in the nation (opponents’ turnover percentage of 17.0 percent).

Saint Joseph’s vs. Davidson Odds Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Davidson, ATS Winner – Davidson, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Davidson averages 26.2 three pointers per game, which ranks 40th in the nation. Saint Joseph’s ranks 276th in three pointers allowed per game (26.4).
  • The Wildcats rank seventh in blocks allowed per game (2.2) while the Hawks rank 19th (2.4).
  • Saint Joseph’s allows the 19th-fewest steals per game (5.0) while Davidson ranks 21st (5.0).
  • The Wildcats average 14.5 assists per game, which ranks 75th in the country. The Hawks rank 246th in assists allowed per game (15.3).
  • Davidson ranks 86th in rebounds allowed per game (33.5) while Saint Joseph’s ranks 227th (36.8).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 75.6 points per game (4.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 72.2 points per game (0.5 below their season average).
  • The Wildcats’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.2, up from 6.5 for the season.