The Utah Jazz (8-9) will be 9.5-point favorites at home in Vivint Smart Home Arena when they square off with the Sacramento Kings (9-8). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 220 points and it starts at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 21, 2018.
Sacramento Kings at Utah Jazz ATS Odds
The last time the Kings played, they defeated the Oklahoma City Thunder, 117-113, despite being 5-point underdogs. The Jazz, on the other hand, were blown out by the Indiana Pacers, 121-94, and failed to cover as 4-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Sacramento game finished 2.5 points over the projected point total of 227.5, while the Utah game finished 9 points over the projected point total of 206.
Sacramento played a nearly perfect game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.9 (above their season average of 21.1) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.520 (below their season average of 0.536). For those same stats, Oklahoma City was 22.4 and 0.472, respectively. Utah, meanwhile, had a better free throw rate (0.149 vs. 0.118). Ricky Rubio played well for Utah with 28 points and six assists. Meanwhile, Marvin Bagley III had a good outing for Sacramento, putting up 15 points and 13 rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Rudy Gobert led the Jazz to a 123-117 win. He recorded a double-double with 19 points and 15 rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 240 points, which was well over the projected point total of 205.5, and Utah was unable to cover as an 8.5-point favorite. One of Utah’s largest advantages was getting to the charity stripe. They made 38 trips to the line, while Sacramento went just 18 times.
Matchups involving the Kings have typically gone over the total (58.8 percent). Sacramento comes into the game with records of 9-8 straight up (SU) and 10-7 against the spread (ATS).
Coinciding with Sacramento, games including the Jazz also have typically finished over the projected point total (64.7 percent). Additionally, Utah is 8-9 SU and 8-9 ATS.
This has potential to be a mistake-prone game for the offense of Utah. Utah ranks 24th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 15.0 percent), while the disruptive defense of Sacramento forces the sixth-most turnovers in the NBA (15.3 percent). It will also be a battle of conflicting paces as the up-and-down Kings rank fourth in possessions per game, while the slower-paced Jazz rank 25th.
Kings vs. Jazz ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Jazz rank 3 in blocks allowed per game (4.235294117647059) while the Kings rank 18 (5.470588235294118).
- Sacramento ranks first in fast break points per game (22.7) while Utah ranks 28th (10.5).
- The Kings average 20.6 points off turnovers per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Jazz rank 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.1).
- Utah ranks sixth in rebounds allowed per game (42.2) while Sacramento ranks 26th (48.6).
- Utah averages 48.11764705882353 points in the paint per game, which ranks 11 in the league. Sacramento ranks 27 in points allowed in the paint per game (52.470588235294116).
- The Jazz rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (28.2) while the Kings rank 28th (36.4).
- The Jazz rank 5 in second chance points allowed per game (11.705882352941176) while the Kings rank 23 (15.176470588235293).
- Utah averages 23.352941176470587 assists per game, which ranks 14 in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 20 in assists allowed per game (24.235294117647058).
- Sacramento ranks seventh in steals per game (8.5) while Utah ranks 27th in steals allowed per game (8.8).
- Sacramento is 3-0 when they allow less than 100 points, while Utah is 3-1.
- The Jazz are 6-5 when they reach the century mark, while the Kings are 8-7.
- Sacramento is 4-5 ATS on the road, while Utah is 3-3 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 8 of the Kings’ 9 road games, while 5 of the Jazz’s 6 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Sacramento and Utah are both 2-3 ATS.
- The Kings have 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games, while the Jazz have 3 unders and 2 overs,
- The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.8, up from 2.2 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 92.6 points per game (13.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 105.2 points per game (3.3 below their season average).
