The NBA’s top scoring team will be a 13.5-point favorite at home in Fiserv Forum, when the Milwaukee Bucks (45-7) take on the Sacramento Kings (21-31). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 227 points and it can be seen on NBATV at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, February 10, 2020.
Sacramento Kings at Milwaukee Bucks Betting Odds
Both teams covered in their last matchup. The Bucks (10.5-point favorites) defeated the Orlando Magic 111-95, while the Kings (2-point underdog) beat the San Antonio Spurs 122-102. The Milwaukee game went 20.5 points under the projected point total of 226.5, while the Sacramento game finished 2 points over the projected point total of 222.
The Kings had a turnover percentage of 9.5 (better than their season average of 12.9) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.634 (above their season average of 0.528). The Bucks, on the other hand, held the Magic to an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.1 (below their season average of 22.1) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.429 (below their season average of 0.492). Giannis Antetokounmpo had a good performance for Milwaukee with 18 points, 18 rebounds and nine assists. Sacramento was lifted by Buddy Hield, who contributed 31 points, six rebounds and five assists.
In their first matchup this season, Middleton led the Bucks to a 127-106 win. He notched a double-double with 27 points and 11 rebounds. The two teams combined to score 233 points, which was over the projected point total of 223.5, and Milwaukee covered as a 9-point favorite. One of Milwaukee’s largest strengths was getting to the charity stripe. They had 30 free throw attempts, while Sacramento had just 10.
Just over half of the Kings’ games have finished over the projected point total. Sacramento comes into the game with records of 21-31 straight up (SU) and 26-26 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Sacramento, just over half of Bucks games have finished under the total. Additionally, Milwaukee owns records of 45-7 SU and 30-22 ATS.
This game should be a battle of conflicting styles. Milwaukee prefers a fast-paced style of play (first in possessions per game), while Sacramento likes to grind-it-out (25th in possessions per game). Also, the 21st-ranked offense of the Kings (offensive efficiency of 107.2) will face off against the top-ranked defense of the Bucks (defensive efficiency of 100.1).
Kings at Bucks Odds Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Bucks average 7.4 steals per game, which ranks 19th in the NBA. The Kings rank 21st in steals allowed per game (8.0).
- Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (52.1) while Sacramento ranks 29th (42.3).
- The Kings rank 10th in three pointers attempted per game (34.6) while the Bucks rank last in three pointers allowed per game (39.0).
- Milwaukee ranks third in assists per game (26.3) while Sacramento ranks 22nd (23.2).
- Milwaukee ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (11.4) while Sacramento ranks sixth (12.2).
- The Bucks rank third in points in the paint per game (51.2) while the Kings rank 24th (45.3).
- The Bucks rank first in fast break points per game (19.0) while the Kings rank 18th (12.3).
- Milwaukee ranks third in blocks per game (6.4) while Sacramento ranks 23rd (4.3).
- When holding opponents under 100 points, Milwaukee is 12-0 and Sacramento is 9-2.
- The Bucks are 45-7 when they reach 100 points, while the Kings are 19-24.
- Milwaukee is 15-12 ATS at home, while Sacramento is 16-10 ATS on the road.
- Of the Kings’ 26 road games, they have 14 overs and 12 unders.
- In 27 home games, the Bucks have 14 overs and 13 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Sacramento and Milwaukee are both 4-1 ATS.
- The Kings have 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games, while the Bucks have 3 unders and 2 overs
- During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 115.4 points per game (7.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.0 points per game (2.2 below their season average).
- The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.6, down from 12.5 for the season.
