The Sacramento Kings (21-32) will travel to the American Airlines Center to meet the Dallas Mavericks (32-22). The game starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 12, 2020, and will air on NBC Sports – California.
Sacramento Kings vs. Dallas Mavericks ATS Odds
Both teams lost in their last game. The Kings (10-point underdogs) were defeated by the Milwaukee Bucks, 123-111, while the Mavericks (1.5-point favorites) fell to the Utah Jazz, 123-119. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Sacramento game went 4.5 points over the projected point total of 229.5, while the Dallas game went 25.5 points over the projected point total of 216.5.
Sacramento held Milwaukee to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.0 (below the 22.2 mark opponents have averaged against Sacramento this season) while Dallas forced Utah into a turnover percentage of 19.4 (above their season average of 13.1). Tim Hardaway Jr. had a good outing for Dallas, recording 33 points. De’Aaron Fox, meanwhile was a key piece for Sacramento with 17 points, 11 assists and eight rebounds.
The Mavericks evened the season series at one with a 127-123 victory in their most recent game. Fox finished with 27 points and 12 assists. Dallas did an excellent job of converting from the charity stripe (20-24; 83.3 percent). Sacramento, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (7.1 vs. 9.7). The two teams combined to score 250 points, which was well over the projected point total of 226, and Dallas covered as a 3.5-point favorite.
A little over half of the Kings’ games have finished over the O/U total. Sacramento heads into the game with records of 21-32 straight up (SU) and 26-27 against the spread (ATS).
Games involving the Mavericks tend to finish over the projected point total (63.0 percent). Further, Dallas is 32-22 SU and 31-23 ATS.
Dallas could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their sweet-shooting offense faces off against one of the league’s worst defenses. The Mavericks rank fifth in effective field goal percentage (0.544), while Sacramento ranks 21st in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.538).
Sacramento Kings vs. Dallas Mavericks Odds Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Mavericks rank 13th in assists per game (24.1) while the Kings rank 17th in assists allowed per game (24.5).
- Sacramento ranks fifth in fast break points allowed per game (11.9) while Dallas ranks last (16.5).
- The Kings rank ninth in points off turnovers per game (17.3) while the Mavericks rank 26th (14.9).
- Sacramento ranks 17th in steals per game (7.5) while Dallas ranks 28th (6.1).
- Dallas ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Sacramento ranks ninth (4.4).
- The Mavericks rank fourth in rebounds per game (47.0) while the Kings rank 28th (42.4).
- The Mavericks rank third in second chance points per game (14.7) while the Kings rank 12th (13.2).
- Sacramento ranks 24th in points in the paint per game (45.3) while Dallas ranks 27th (44.4).
- Dallas averages 41.1 three pointers per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 19th in three pointers allowed per game (34.4).
- Dallas is 8-0 when they allow under 100 points, while Sacramento is 9-2.
- The Kings are 19-25 when they score above 100 points, while the Mavericks are 32-20.
- Sacramento is 16-11 ATS on the road, while Dallas is 11-17 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 15 of the Kings’ 27 road games, while 17 of the Mavericks’ 28 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Kings are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Mavericks are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Sacramento has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Dallas has 5 overs.
- During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 112.8 points per game (5.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.0 points per game (1.6 above their season average).
- The Mavericks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.2, down from 5.7 for the season.
