A six-game home winning streak hangs in the balance for the Utah Jazz (28-13), who will be 9.5-point favorites when they welcome the Sacramento Kings (15-26) to Vivint Smart Home Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 222 points and it is scheduled to start at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 18, 2020.
Sacramento Kings at Utah Jazz ATS Odds
Both teams were beaten in their last outing. The Kings (3.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Dallas Mavericks, 127-123, while the Jazz (5.5-point favorites) fell to the New Orleans Pelicans, 138-132. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Sacramento game went 24 points over the projected point total of 226, while the Utah game went 45.5 points over the projected point total of 224.5.
Sacramento had a turnover percentage of 7.1 (better than their season average of 13.2) while Utah had a better offensive rebounding percentage (23.4 vs. 22.0). Utah was led by Donovan Mitchell, who put up 46 points and six rebounds. De’Aaron Fox, meanwhile played well for Sacramento, finishing with 27 points, 12 assists and seven rebounds.
The Kings evened the season series at one with a 102-101 victory in their most recent game. In the loss, Gobert had a double-double with 15 points and 16 rebounds. Sacramento won the rebounding battle. The Kings had 11 offensive rebounds and 38 total rebounds, while the Jazz had six and 36, respectively. Sacramento covered as a 4-point underdog and the two teams combined for 203 points, which was under the projected point total of 213.5.
Kings games have gone under the O/U total 53.7 percent of the time. Sacramento heads into the contest with records of 15-26 straight up (SU) and 20-21 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Sacramento, just over half of Jazz games have finished over the total. Further, Utah owns records of 28-13 SU and 20-19-2 ATS.
The Kings’ Fox has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 23 points,7.6 assists,5.6 rebounds,1.6 steals per game. Meanwhile, Rudy Gobert has averaged 17 points,16.0 rebounds,2.0 blocks during that same time frame for the Jazz.
Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when a pair of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams go head-to-head. Utah currently ranks 27th in possessions per game (100.6) and Sacramento is 25th (100.6).
Sacramento Kings vs. Utah Jazz Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Jazz rank 15th in points in the paint per game (47.5) while the Kings rank 25th (44.9).
- Sacramento ranks 11th in second chance points per game (13.4) while Utah ranks 29th (11.2).
- The Jazz rank third in three pointers allowed per game (31.0) while the Kings rank 15th (33.6).
- Sacramento ranks second in fast break points allowed per game (11.3) while Utah ranks 13th (12.7).
- Sacramento ranks 19th in steals per game (7.5) while Utah ranks 29th (6.0).
- The Kings rank 13th in points off turnovers per game (17.1) while the Jazz rank 27th (14.6).
- The Jazz rank 17th in rebounds per game (45.3) while the Kings rank 28th (42.5).
- Sacramento ranks 22nd in blocks per game (4.3) while Utah ranks 25th (4.1).
- Utah ranks first in assists allowed per game (20.9) while Sacramento ranks 15th (24.2).
- When holding opponents below 100 points, Utah is 10-1 and Sacramento is 7-2.
- The Jazz are 27-8 when they score more than 100 points, while the Kings are 14-19.
- Sacramento is 13-7 ATS on the road, while Utah is 9-8-1 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 10 of the Jazz’s 18 home games, while 11 of the Kings’ 20 road games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Jazz are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Kings are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Utah has 4 overs and 1 under, while Sacramento has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 122.8 points per game (12.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.4 points per game (4.8 above their season average).
- The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.6, down from 2.8 for the season.
